Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T13:02:30+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

02
0x025e…d30d
crypto · 33 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$17 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$22 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$64
Realized−$22
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)58%
Wins / losses15 / 11
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions7
Markets (closed)26 / 33
History coverage2d
Avg bet$14
Trades / day33.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit82%
Chart Positions 7 History 26 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$22
7 days−$22
14 days−$22
30 days−$22
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? Yes 94¢ 94¢ $50 $50 +$0 (+0%)
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? Yes 51¢ 50¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? Yes 48¢ 48¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? Yes 28¢ 28¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-2%)
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? Yes 4¢ 4¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+5%)
Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw? Yes 34¢ 34¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will Sweden vs. Tunisia end in a draw? Yes 29¢ 28¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-2%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 58¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 82¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Yes 58¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$4 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$5 +91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +1%
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $10 +$6 +57%
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Jun 13 $10 −$10 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $50 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +40%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $10 −$10 -99%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$6 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $86 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $15 −$4 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $104 +$3 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$4 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -95%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 79% +$2
other 21% −$24
sports 1% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw? BUY Yes 34¢ $1 1h
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 51¢ $5 1h
Will Sweden vs. Tunisia end in a draw? BUY Yes 29¢ $1 1h
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? BUY Yes 4¢ $1 1h
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? BUY Yes 28¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4AM ET SELL Up 72¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4AM ET SELL Up 72¢ $4 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4AM ET SELL Up 72¢ $4 4h
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 48¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 6h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 58¢ $10 17h
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 94¢ $50 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $16 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $16 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $1 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $2 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $15 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $50 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET SELL Up 71¢ $7 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $5 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $5 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET SELL Down 77¢ $7 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $6 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET SELL Down 92¢ $7 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $5 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET SELL Down 71¢ $7 29h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $5 29h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 63¢ $10 29h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)-20.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 26 -11.5% -20.0% 58% 42% -14.5%
≤30d 26 -11.5% -20.0% 58% 42% -14.5%
≤90d 26 -11.5% -20.0% 58% 42% -14.5%
all 26 -11.5% -20.0% 58% 42% -14.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover33.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -20.0% 42% -14.5%
10% ← realistic here -27.6% 35% -22.7%
15% -34.6% 31% -30.2%
20% -41.0% 19% -37.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $64.48 · official $64.48 (match) · 68 history records