Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T11:23:35+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

02
0x026a…2f8a
crypto · 160 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$2,214 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,199 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$2,199
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)72%
Wins / losses115 / 45
Whale WR (big bets)75%
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions0
Markets (closed)160 / 160
History coverage585d
Avg bet$602
Trades / day3.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 0 History 160 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$21
7 days+$2
14 days+$2
30 days+$2
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI T1 50¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 14 $31 +$19 +62%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 13 $100 +$2 +2%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $40 −$18 -46%
Xi Jinping out before 2027? Sep 07 $271 +$7 +2%
Will OpenAi have the top AI model on August 31? Aug 15 $265 +$7 +2%
Will Ethereum hit $4,000 by December 31? Aug 08 $154 +$46 +30%
Will Bitcoin reach $110k in May? Jun 25 $624 −$424 -68%
Will Bitcoin dip to $85k in May? Jun 25 $164 +$7 +4%
Will Bitcoin reach $115k in May? Jun 25 $1,176 −$7 -1%
Will Bitcoin dip to $80k in May? May 10 $672 +$96 +14%
Will Bitcoin dip to $70k in April? May 01 $403 +$107 +26%
Will Bitcoin reach $100k in April? May 01 $930 +$120 +13%
Will Bitcoin reach $95k in April? Apr 20 $155 −$100 -64%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60k in April? Apr 20 $176 +$22 +12%
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by March 31? Apr 02 $2,559 +$160 +6%
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by March 31? Apr 02 $4,357 +$396 +9%
Ethereum above $2,800 on February 28? Mar 03 $105 −$105 -100%
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by March 31? Mar 03 $8,774 −$1,325 -15%
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 by February 28, 2025? Feb 27 $3,898 −$1,596 -41%
Will Ethereum hit $2,500 or $3,000 first? Feb 26 $106 −$106 -100%
Will Bitcoin hit $90k or $100k first? Feb 26 $761 −$356 -47%
Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 by February 28, 2025? Feb 25 $2,288 −$333 -15%
Bitcoin above $99,000 on February 28? Feb 25 $734 +$59 +8%
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by March 31? Feb 25 $2,711 +$91 +3%
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by February 28, 2025? Feb 24 $1,040 +$46 +4%
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by March 31? Feb 23 $1,316 +$59 +4%
Will Ethereum hit $3500 by February 28 2025? Feb 23 $722 −$91 -13%
Will Ethereum dip to $2000 by February 28 2025? Feb 23 $1,814 +$79 +4%
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by February 28, 2025? Feb 23 $1,562 +$16 +1%
Cavaliers vs. Nets Feb 22 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin above $97,000 on February 21? Feb 21 $1,085 +$112 +10%
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 by February 28, 2025? Feb 13 $304 +$7 +2%
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by February 28, 2025? Feb 11 $564 +$16 +3%
Will Ethereum hit $4,500.00 by March 31? Feb 07 $1,035 +$115 +11%
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by February 28, 2025? Feb 06 $718 +$23 +3%
Will Ethereum hit $4000 by February 28 2025? Feb 06 $101 +$2 +2%
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by March 31? Feb 05 $778 +$9 +1%
Magic vs. Warriors Feb 04 $467 +$61 +13%
Wizards vs. Hornets Feb 04 $215 +$6 +3%
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by February 28, 2025? Feb 04 $276 +$10 +4%
Spurs vs. Grizzlies Feb 04 $117 +$20 +17%
Kings vs. Timberwolves Feb 04 $10 +$5 +48%
Will Ethereum dip to $2750 by February 28 2025? Feb 03 $340 −$270 -79%
Will Ethereum dip to $2,500 by December 31? Feb 03 $80 −$80 -100%
Will Ethereum dip to $2500 by February 28 2025? Feb 02 $100 +$2 +2%
Will Ethereum hit $5,000.00 by March 31? Jan 31 $835 +$31 +4%
Will Ethereum dip to $2,750 by January 31? Jan 31 $2,991 +$166 +6%
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by January 31, 2025? Jan 31 $2,512 +$85 +3%
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by January 31, 2025? Jan 31 $3,693 +$53 +1%
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by March 31? Jan 30 $792 +$14 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 88% −$2,453
sports 9% +$106
politics 2% +$98
other 1% +$43
tech 0% +$7
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL Gen.G 56¢ $32 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Gen.G 35¢ $20 2h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL T1 38¢ $18 3h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 21¢ $10 4h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Gen.G 98¢ $100 27h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 50¢ $20 2d
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL T1 51¢ $21 2d
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 47¢ $20 2d
Xi Jinping out before 2027? SELL No 83¢ $278 280d
Xi Jinping out before 2027? BUY No 81¢ $271 296d
Will OpenAi have the top AI model on August 31? SELL No 83¢ $271 302d
Will OpenAi have the top AI model on August 31? BUY No 81¢ $265 306d
Will Bitcoin reach $115k in May? SELL No 34¢ $102 388d
Will Bitcoin dip to $85k in May? BUY No 96¢ $164 390d
Will Bitcoin reach $115k in May? BUY No 78¢ $112 397d
Will Bitcoin reach $115k in May? BUY No 78¢ $78 397d
Will Bitcoin reach $115k in May? BUY No 78¢ $4 397d
Will Bitcoin reach $115k in May? BUY No 78¢ $4 397d
Will Bitcoin reach $115k in May? BUY No 78¢ $37 397d
Will Bitcoin reach $115k in May? SELL No 82¢ $20 397d
Will Bitcoin reach $115k in May? SELL No 82¢ $226 397d
Will Bitcoin reach $115k in May? SELL No 74¢ $296 397d
Will Bitcoin reach $115k in May? BUY No 72¢ $288 399d
Will Bitcoin dip to $80k in May? SELL No 96¢ $406 400d
Will Bitcoin dip to $80k in May? SELL No 96¢ $44 400d
Will Bitcoin reach $115k in May? BUY No 74¢ $196 400d
Will Bitcoin reach $115k in May? BUY No 74¢ $18 400d
Will Bitcoin reach $115k in May? BUY No 74¢ $8 400d
Will Bitcoin dip to $80k in May? SELL No 96¢ $9 400d
Will Bitcoin reach $115k in May? BUY No 72¢ $107 400d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +31%
net ROI/market (all)-12.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 3 -9.2% -17.9% 67% 33% -8.1%
≤30d 3 -9.2% -17.9% 67% 33% -8.1%
≤90d 3 -9.2% -17.9% 67% 33% -8.1%
all 160 -2.8% -12.0% 72% 31% -11.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3.4 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -12.0% 31% -11.6%
10% -20.4% 13% -20.1%
15% -28.1% 8% -27.8%
20% -35.2% 5% -34.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2118 history records