Wallet analysis

2026-06-26T22:12:28+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
02 0x026b…8804 sports 266 markets active 11h ago coverage 20d ⚠
BOTnot copyable sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 20d only
✗ bot/MM pace (166 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$714 (+1%) realized +$714 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +7% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -18% what you keep after slip
Net edge-18%after slip
Net WR52%break-even
Win rate64%170W / 96L
Whale WR64%big bets
Drawdown93%max
Avg bet$190per market
Trades / day166.3pace
Fees−$926est.
Kalshi-fit95%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$527
7 days−$1,416
14 days−$994
30 days+$176
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 96% +$187
other 4% +$225
crypto 0% −$162
world 0% −$74
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (166 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +52%
net ROI/market (all)-3.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 96 -0.4% -9.9% 61% 44% -15.0%
≤30d 266 +7.2% -3.0% 64% 52% -9.2%
≤90d 266 +7.2% -3.0% 64% 52% -9.2%
all 266 +7.2% -3.0% 64% 52% -9.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover166.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -3.0% 52% -9.2%
10% ← realistic here -12.3% 41% -17.9%
15% -20.8% 32% -25.8%
20% -28.5% 23% -33.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 4% · top 2 8% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
19% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +7% · $-wt +0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 64% (≥$500) strong on big bets
Persistence
early +18% → late -3% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
7.3 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$56 vs −$100 · ×0.56 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.02 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

20d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$714
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)64%
Wins / losses170 / 96
Whale WR (big bets)64%
Est. fees paid−$926
Open positions0
Markets (closed)266 / 266
History coverage20d ⚠
Avg bet$190
Trades / day166.3
Drawdown93%
Kalshi-fit95%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 266 Trades
no open positions (2 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: PCIFIC vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - LG UltraGear Tournament Jun 26 $669 −$426 -64%
Counter-Strike: PCIFIC vs Rune Eaters - Map 2 Winner Jun 26 $202 −$201 -100%
Valorant: T1 Academy vs So:sweet (BO3) - VCL Korea: Regular Season Jun 26 $4 +$4 +96%
Counter-Strike: The Huns Esports vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects - Map 2 Winne Jun 26 $206 +$105 +51%
Dota 2: Enjoy vs HULIGANI - Game 2 Winner Jun 26 $27 −$19 -71%
Counter-Strike: PCIFIC vs Rune Eaters - Map 1 Winner Jun 26 $55 −$41 -75%
Valorant: ARETE vs ONSIDE GAMING (BO3) - VCL Korea: Regular Season Jun 26 $4 +$3 +72%
Counter-Strike: The Huns Esports vs CYBERSHOKE Prospects - Map 1 Winne Jun 26 $88 −$84 -95%
Valorant: Dplus vs DRX Academy (BO3) - VCL Korea: Regular Season Jun 26 $21 −$21 -98%
Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs Inner Circle Esports (BO3) - Super Dra Jun 26 $27 +$27 +100%
Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs Inner Circle Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 26 $49 +$53 +108%
Counter-Strike: Acend vs Sharks (BO3) - Super DraculaN Group A Jun 25 $456 +$301 +66%
Counter-Strike: Acend vs Sharks - Map 2 Winner Jun 25 $435 −$139 -32%
Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs Inner Circle Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 25 $98 +$4 +4%
Counter-Strike: Acend vs Sharks - Map 1 Winner Jun 25 $543 +$157 +29%
Counter-Strike: Esport Academy Copenhagen vs Betclic Apogee Esports - Jun 25 $58 −$58 -100%
Counter-Strike: Esport Academy Copenhagen vs Betclic Apogee Esports (B Jun 25 $350 −$174 -50%
Valorant: DRX Academy vs Gen.G Global Academy (BO3) - VCL Korea: Regul Jun 25 $138 −$138 -100%
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs 9INE (BO3) - Super DraculaN Gr Jun 25 $427 +$151 +35%
Counter-Strike: Esport Academy Copenhagen vs Betclic Apogee Esports - Jun 25 $138 +$7 +5%
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs 9INE - Map 2 Winner Jun 25 $46 +$13 +27%
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs 9INE - Map 1 Winner Jun 25 $93 +$15 +16%
Counter-Strike: Infinite vs FOKUS - Map 2 Winner Jun 25 $97 −$97 -100%
Valorant: Dplus vs X-CAST (BO3) - VCL Korea: Regular Season Jun 25 $109 +$94 +86%
Valorant: Crest Gaming Zst vs QT DIG∞ (BO3) - VCL Japan Main Stage Jun 25 $25 +$20 +82%
Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs AM Gaming - Map 2 Winner Jun 25 $137 −$81 -59%
Counter-Strike: 9INE vs GamerLegion - Map 1 Winner Jun 25 $113 −$82 -73%
Valorant: Azure Dragon Gaming vs Alliance Guardians (BO3) - VCL North Jun 25 $67 +$79 +118%
Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs OG (BO3) - Super DraculaN Gr Jun 24 $24 +$1 +2%
Counter-Strike: 9INE vs GamerLegion - Map 2 Winner Jun 24 $70 +$51 +73%
Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs OG - Map 1 Winner Jun 24 $36 −$22 -61%
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Sharks - Map 2 Winner Jun 24 $118 +$20 +17%
Valorant: ARETE vs So:sweet - Map 2 Winner Jun 24 $70 +$61 +87%
Valorant: ARETE vs So:sweet (BO3) - VCL Korea: Regular Season Jun 24 $56 +$56 +99%
Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs Eternal Fire - Map 2 Winner Jun 24 $93 −$74 -79%
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Sharks - Map 1 Winner Jun 24 $243 +$43 +18%
Valorant: ARETE vs So:sweet - Map 1 Winner Jun 24 $43 +$52 +120%
Counter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs Sharks (BO3) - Super DraculaN Jun 24 $23 −$6 -26%
Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - Super DraculaN Group Jun 24 $23 +$5 +22%
Map Handicap: OSG (-1.5) vs T1 Academy (+1.5) Jun 24 $358 −$224 -62%
Valorant: ONSIDE GAMING vs T1 Academy (BO3) - VCL Korea: Regular Seaso Jun 24 $226 +$188 +83%
Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs Eternal Fire - Map 1 Winner Jun 24 $87 +$6 +7%
Valorant: ONSIDE GAMING vs T1 Academy - Map 2 Winner Jun 24 $12 −$12 -100%
Counter-Strike: Esport Academy Copenhagen vs Walczaki - Map 2 Winner Jun 24 $51 +$18 +36%
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23? Jun 24 $3 +$2 +59%
Will England win on 2026-06-23? Jun 24 $3 −$3 -100%
Valorant: FOKUS vs MIR (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Stage 3 Group C Jun 24 $461 −$143 -31%
Valorant: FOKUS vs MIR - Map 2 Winner Jun 24 $7 +$2 +33%
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Acend (BO3) - Super DraculaN Group A Jun 23 $44 +$5 +12%
Counter-Strike: FOKUS vs OG - Map 2 Winner Jun 23 $895 −$331 -37%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: PCIFIC vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - LG UltraGear Tournament SELL Rune Eaters 3¢ $20 10h
Counter-Strike: PCIFIC vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - LG UltraGear Tournament SELL Rune Eaters 13¢ $13 10h
Counter-Strike: PCIFIC vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - LG UltraGear Tournament SELL Rune Eaters 11¢ $1 10h
Counter-Strike: PCIFIC vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - LG UltraGear Tournament SELL Rune Eaters 11¢ $10 10h
Counter-Strike: PCIFIC vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - LG UltraGear Tournament SELL Rune Eaters 15¢ $2 10h
Counter-Strike: PCIFIC vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - LG UltraGear Tournament SELL Rune Eaters 15¢ $0 10h
Counter-Strike: PCIFIC vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - LG UltraGear Tournament SELL Rune Eaters 13¢ $2 10h
Counter-Strike: PCIFIC vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - LG UltraGear Tournament SELL Rune Eaters 15¢ $1 10h
Counter-Strike: PCIFIC vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - LG UltraGear Tournament SELL Rune Eaters 10¢ $10 10h
Counter-Strike: PCIFIC vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - LG UltraGear Tournament SELL Rune Eaters 15¢ $1 10h
Counter-Strike: PCIFIC vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - LG UltraGear Tournament SELL Rune Eaters 10¢ $10 10h
Counter-Strike: PCIFIC vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - LG UltraGear Tournament SELL Rune Eaters 10¢ $10 10h
Counter-Strike: PCIFIC vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - LG UltraGear Tournament SELL Rune Eaters 12¢ $4 10h
Counter-Strike: PCIFIC vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - LG UltraGear Tournament SELL Rune Eaters 13¢ $2 10h
Counter-Strike: PCIFIC vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - LG UltraGear Tournament SELL Rune Eaters 12¢ $2 10h
Counter-Strike: PCIFIC vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - LG UltraGear Tournament SELL Rune Eaters 12¢ $0 10h
Counter-Strike: PCIFIC vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - LG UltraGear Tournament SELL Rune Eaters 11¢ $11 10h
Counter-Strike: PCIFIC vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - LG UltraGear Tournament SELL Rune Eaters 15¢ $4 10h
Counter-Strike: PCIFIC vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - LG UltraGear Tournament SELL Rune Eaters 16¢ $1 10h
Counter-Strike: PCIFIC vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - LG UltraGear Tournament SELL Rune Eaters 16¢ $0 10h
Counter-Strike: PCIFIC vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - LG UltraGear Tournament BUY Rune Eaters 20¢ $16 10h
Counter-Strike: PCIFIC vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - LG UltraGear Tournament BUY Rune Eaters 20¢ $28 10h
Counter-Strike: PCIFIC vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - LG UltraGear Tournament BUY Rune Eaters 20¢ $8 10h
Counter-Strike: PCIFIC vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - LG UltraGear Tournament BUY Rune Eaters 20¢ $7 10h
Counter-Strike: PCIFIC vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - LG UltraGear Tournament BUY Rune Eaters 30¢ $13 11h
Counter-Strike: PCIFIC vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - LG UltraGear Tournament BUY Rune Eaters 30¢ $2 11h
Counter-Strike: PCIFIC vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - LG UltraGear Tournament BUY Rune Eaters 30¢ $16 11h
Counter-Strike: PCIFIC vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - LG UltraGear Tournament BUY Rune Eaters 30¢ $19 11h
Counter-Strike: PCIFIC vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - LG UltraGear Tournament BUY Rune Eaters 30¢ $9 11h
Counter-Strike: PCIFIC vs Rune Eaters (BO3) - LG UltraGear Tournament BUY Rune Eaters 30¢ $19 11h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records