Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T03:08:14+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

02
0x026f…e7b7
crypto · 1699 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$522 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$522 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$10
Realized+$522
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)95%
Wins / losses1612 / 93
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1705 / 1699
History coverage29d
Avg bet$28
Trades / day64.5
Drawdown27%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1705 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$35
7 days+$196
14 days+$132
30 days+$522
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Up 92¢ 0¢ $37 $0 −$37 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Down 98¢ 0¢ $49 $0 −$49 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Down 77¢ 0¢ $39 $0 −$39 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Up 99¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Down 86¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Up 96¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Up 93¢ 0¢ $47 $0 −$47 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $37 $0 −$37 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Up 89¢ 0¢ $36 $0 −$36 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 14 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 14 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 14 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 14 $9 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$3 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$4 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$2 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$2 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$3 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$4 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $7 +$3 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $8 +$2 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $8 +$2 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$577
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $9 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $7 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET SELL Down 96¢ $10 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $10 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $9 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $10 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $4 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $6 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $10 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $10 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $6 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $8 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $8 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $10 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $10 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $6 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $8 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $10 10h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +11%
net ROI/market (all)-8.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 339 +1.4% -8.3% 94% 15% -7.0%
≤30d 1705 +0.7% -8.8% 95% 11% -8.5%
≤90d 1705 +0.7% -8.8% 95% 11% -8.5%
all 1705 +0.7% -8.8% 95% 11% -8.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover64.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.8% 11% -8.5%
10% ← realistic here -17.6% 6% -17.3%
15% -25.5% 4% -25.3%
20% -32.8% 3% -32.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $10.10 · official $10.10 (match) · 3500 history records