Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T02:52:24+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

02
0x027f…9df4
other · 51 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$21 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$20 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$27
Realized−$20
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)14%
Wins / losses7 / 43
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions1
Markets (closed)50 / 51
History coverage610d
Avg bet$149
Trades / day0.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit57%
Chart Positions 1 History 50 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$0
7 days−$8
14 days−$8
30 days−$5
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Solana reach $110 in June? No 99¢ 99¢ $27 $27 −$0 (-0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Ayelet Shaked be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Jun 13 $13 $0 -0%
Will Cadillac be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Jun 11 $26 $0 -0%
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 10 $28 $0 -0%
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers Jun 10 $8 −$8 -100%
Will Valérie Pécresse win the 2027 French presidential election? Jun 09 $9 $0 -0%
Will the Miami Marlins win the 2026 World Series? Jun 08 $15 $0 -0%
Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 03 $10 $0 -0%
Will Oliver Bearman be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 02 $81 $0 -0%
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 02 $12 $0 -0%
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 01 $16 $0 -0%
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? Jun 01 $43 $0 +0%
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 31 $17 $0 -0%
Will Lance Stroll be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 30 $16 $0 -0%
Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? May 24 $15 $0 -0%
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on Ju May 18 $74 $0 -0%
San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers May 18 $5 +$4 +70%
Will Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 13 $143 $0 -0%
Pistons vs. Cavaliers May 12 $10 +$6 +65%
Will Fernando Alonso be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 11 $63 $0 -0%
Will Benjamin Netanyahu win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? May 08 $66 $0 -0%
Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026? May 06 $67 $0 -0%
Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? May 02 $64 $0 -0%
Will Wuthering Heights be the top grossing movie of 2026? May 01 $64 $0 -0%
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 01 $70 $0 -0%
Will South Africa win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 01 $138 $0 -0%
Will Nico Hülkenberg be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Apr 30 $68 $0 -0%
Will Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Apr 24 $68 $0 -0%
Will Pierre Gasly be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Apr 24 $70 $0 -0%
Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026? Apr 23 $68 $0 -0%
Will Jeon Hyun-heui win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Apr 22 $70 $0 -0%
Will Williams be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Apr 22 $64 $0 -0%
Will Hong Ihk-pyo win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Apr 19 $65 $0 -0%
Will François Bayrou win the 2027 French presidential election? Apr 18 $68 $0 -0%
Will Han Dong-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Apr 18 $71 $0 -0%
Will Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair? Apr 17 $64 $0 -0%
Based FDV above $800M one day after launch? Apr 09 $21 $0 +1%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on March 26? Mar 27 $7 $0 +0%
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? Mar 05 $1 $0 +2%
Based FDV above $4B one day after launch? Feb 28 $26 $0 -0%
Will Solana reach $210 in January? Feb 13 $26 $0 +1%
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? Oct 10 $8 $0 -0%
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion? Sep 19 $14 $0 -2%
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion? Jun 14 $1 $0 -25%
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals? May 03 $9 $0 -1%
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals? Apr 17 $31 −$1 -2%
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2025 NBA Finals? Mar 28 $19 $0 -1%
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated? Jan 11 $215 −$3 -1%
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? Oct 31 $1,441 −$4 -0%
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? Oct 28 $2,847 −$6 -0%
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote? Oct 27 $1,137 −$7 -1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
politics 78% −$20
other 14% −$2
economics 2% $0
culture 2% $0
tech 2% $0
sports 1% +$1
crypto 1% $0
world 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Solana reach $110 in June? BUY No 99¢ $27 53m
Will Ayelet Shaked be the next Prime Minister of Israel? SELL No 100¢ $13 1h
Will Ayelet Shaked be the next Prime Minister of Israel? BUY No 100¢ $13 2h
Will Cadillac be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? SELL No 100¢ $12 45h
Will Cadillac be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $12 47h
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $14 2d
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $14 2d
Will Valérie Pécresse win the 2027 French presidential election? SELL No 99¢ $9 3d
Will Valérie Pécresse win the 2027 French presidential election? BUY No 99¢ $9 3d
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers BUY Minnesota Twins 47¢ $8 3d
Will the Miami Marlins win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 99¢ $15 4d
Will the Miami Marlins win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 100¢ $15 4d
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $14 8d
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $14 8d
Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? SELL No 100¢ $10 9d
Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? BUY No 100¢ $10 9d
Will Oliver Bearman be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 100¢ $14 10d
Will Oliver Bearman be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $14 10d
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $12 11d
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 99¢ $16 11d
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $16 11d
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $12 11d
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $17 12d
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $17 12d
Will Lance Stroll be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 100¢ $16 13d
Will Lance Stroll be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $16 13d
Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? SELL No 99¢ $15 19d
Will Jair Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? BUY No 100¢ $15 19d
Will Cadillac be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? SELL No 99¢ $13 20d
Will Cadillac be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $13 20d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +4%
net ROI/market (all)-9.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 6 -16.8% -24.7% 0% 0% -17.1%
≤30d 16 -2.0% -11.3% 12% 6% -10.6%
≤90d 37 +0.9% -8.7% 14% 5% -9.5%
all 50 +0.0% -9.5% 14% 4% -9.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.6 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.5% 4% -9.8%
10% -18.2% 4% -18.4%
15% -26.1% 4% -26.3%
20% -33.3% 4% -33.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $27.26 · official $27.26 (match) · 372 history records