Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T17:51:56+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

02
0x0283…67b4
other · 180 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$34 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$166 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$166
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)34%
Wins / losses61 / 119
Est. fees paid−$41
Open positions0
Markets (closed)180 / 180
History coverage69d
Avg bet$23
Trades / day6.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit61%
Chart Positions 0 History 180 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$103
7 days+$76
14 days+$67
30 days+$105
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Norway win on 2026-06-07? Yes 14¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Birmingham: Mananchaya Sawangkaew vs Linda Klimovicova Linda Klimovicova 17¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 46¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Will France win on 2026-06-04? Yes 35¢ 0¢ $37 $0 −$37 (-100%)
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-03? Yes 16¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? Yes 18¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Will Bermuda win on 2026-06-06? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-06? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-06? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will Greece win on 2026-06-07? Yes 7¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will Manchester United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw? Yes 15¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will Chile win on 2026-06-06? Yes 5¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-04? Yes 31¢ 0¢ $76 $0 −$76 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-04? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-01? Yes 19¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Will Liechtenstein win on 2026-06-07? Yes 8¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Yes 8¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Will Kenya win on 2026-06-03? Yes 9¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-06? Yes 9¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Poland win on 2026-05-31? Yes 46¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? Yes 6¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Albania win on 2026-06-03? Yes 43¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $3 −$2 -80%
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? Jun 14 $50 −$50 -100%
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? Jun 14 $20 −$20 -98%
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $113 +$84 +74%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $79 −$24 -30%
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? Jun 13 $48 +$1 +2%
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $10 −$10 -97%
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $35 −$14 -40%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $81 +$33 +41%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $26 +$55 +216%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $54 +$50 +92%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $231 −$35 -15%
Will Norway win on 2026-06-07? Jun 07 $35 −$25 -71%
Will Greece win on 2026-06-07? Jun 07 $4 −$4 -97%
Will Ukraine win on 2026-06-07? Jun 07 $4 −$4 -89%
Will Italy win on 2026-06-07? Jun 07 $24 +$28 +116%
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-07? Jun 07 $15 +$12 +78%
Will Denmark win on 2026-06-07? Jun 07 $30 +$19 +62%
Will Honduras win on 2026-06-06? Jun 07 $20 −$19 -97%
Will Aruba win on 2026-06-06? Jun 07 $15 −$6 -39%
Will Liechtenstein win on 2026-06-07? Jun 07 $20 −$20 -97%
Spread: Argentina (-2.5) Jun 07 $25 −$8 -32%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $14 +$3 +18%
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $10 −$10 -97%
Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $9 −$5 -54%
Will Australia win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $1 +$1 +136%
Will Panama win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $51 −$26 -51%
Will Wales win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $31 −$31 -100%
Will United States win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $7 −$7 -97%
Will Germany win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $51 +$32 +62%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $24 +$6 +26%
Will Bermuda win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $4 −$4 -97%
Will Chile win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $10 −$10 -97%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 06 $88 +$90 +103%
Will France win on 2026-06-04? Jun 04 $38 −$37 -98%
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-04? Jun 04 $36 +$10 +29%
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-04? Jun 04 $78 −$76 -98%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 04 $30 +$49 +165%
Will Nigeria win on 2026-06-03? Jun 03 $15 +$31 +199%
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-03? Jun 03 $9 +$54 +584%
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-03? Jun 03 $21 −$20 -98%
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-02? Jun 02 $4 +$5 +126%
Will Albania win on 2026-06-03? Jun 02 $20 −$20 -98%
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-02? Jun 02 $17 +$14 +81%
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-01? Jun 01 $17 −$17 -98%
Birmingham: Mananchaya Sawangkaew vs Linda Klimovicova Jun 01 $11 −$11 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 01 $17 −$6 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 01 $8 −$5 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 01 $7 −$4 -68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 01 $13 +$4 +28%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 45% +$74
sports 37% −$15
crypto 17% −$145
world 2% −$81
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 0¢ $1 43m
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 2¢ $3 1h
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? BUY Yes 33¢ $50 12h
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? BUY Yes 18¢ $20 15h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 46¢ $23 19h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 22¢ $26 19h
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? SELL Yes 32¢ $49 19h
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY Yes 30¢ $48 19h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 40¢ $198 19h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 17¢ $53 20h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 58¢ $53 20h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 17¢ $34 23h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $56 23h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 6¢ $10 23h
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 8¢ $9 40h
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 8¢ $19 40h
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 10¢ $26 40h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 68¢ $115 40h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $81 42h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY Yes 31¢ $26 46h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 42¢ $34 46h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 42¢ $69 46h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 21¢ $54 46h
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Knicks 14¢ $10 5d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Knicks 39¢ $24 5d
Spurs vs. Knicks SELL Knicks 47¢ $85 5d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Knicks 39¢ $36 5d
Spurs vs. Knicks SELL Spurs 58¢ $36 5d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Spurs 46¢ $29 5d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Knicks 57¢ $53 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +32%
net ROI/market (all)-21.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 17 -20.6% -28.1% 41% 35% +8.2%
≤30d 64 -2.0% -11.4% 41% 39% -1.2%
≤90d 180 -13.6% -21.9% 34% 32% -12.9%
all 180 -13.6% -21.9% 34% 32% -12.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover6.8 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -21.9% 32% -12.9%
10% -29.3% 28% -21.2%
15% -36.2% 24% -28.8%
20% -42.4% 23% -35.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 558 history records