trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 4 | -32.8% | -39.2% | 50% | 50% | -78.4% |
| ≤90d | 14 | -22.9% | -30.3% | 50% | 43% | -40.1% |
| all | 14 | -22.9% | -30.3% | 50% | 43% | -40.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -30.3% | 43% | -40.1% |
| 10% | -37.0% | 36% | -45.9% |
| 15% | -43.0% | 29% | -51.1% |
| 20% | -48.6% | 7% | -55.9% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Rue Bennett die in Euphoria: Season 3? | Jun 11 | $116 | −$116 | -100% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? | Jun 02 | $30 | −$30 | -100% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? | Jun 02 | $10 | +$2 | +22% |
| Will "Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu" score at least 60 on the R | Jun 02 | $20 | +$10 | +47% |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 21? | May 22 | $10 | +$19 | +189% |
| Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026? | May 19 | $10 | +$3 | +34% |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by April 30? | May 18 | $10 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Finland win Eurovision 2026? | May 18 | $51 | +$24 | +48% |
| Will France win Eurovision 2026? | May 17 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | May 02 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027? | Apr 28 | $10 | −$10 | -97% |
| Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman? | Apr 28 | $20 | −$20 | -98% |
| Will "Babydoll - Dominic Fike" be the #1 song on Spotify this week? | Apr 22 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | Apr 14 | $50 | +$20 | +39% |