Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T19:31:17+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
02 0x028b…7959 crypto 156 markets active 0h ago coverage 1d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (165 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$14 (+1%) realized +$14 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -22% what you keep after slip
Net edge-22%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate99%154W / 1L
Drawdown0%max
Avg bet$9per market
Trades / day165.0pace
Kalshi-fit92%portable
Net worth$12now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 95% +$14
other 5% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (165 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-8.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 155 +1.1% -8.6% 99% 0% -8.6%
≤30d 155 +1.1% -8.6% 99% 0% -8.6%
≤90d 155 +1.1% -8.6% 99% 0% -8.6%
all 155 +1.1% -8.6% 99% 0% -8.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover165.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.6% 0% -8.6%
10% ← realistic here -17.3% 0% -17.3%
15% -25.3% 0% -25.3%
20% -32.6% 0% -32.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 3% · top 2 5% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
100% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +1% · $-wt +1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +1% → late +1% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$0 · ×107.49 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×16552.73 per $1 lost it wins $16552.73
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$12
Realized+$14
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)99%
Wins / losses154 / 1
Open positions1
Markets (closed)155 / 156
History coverage1d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day165.0
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit92%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 1 History 155 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Down 99¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 17 $7 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 17 $6 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 17 $6 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 17 $12 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 17 $7 $0 +2%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 17, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +2%
BNB Up or Down - June 17, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 17 $7 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 17 $9 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 17 $7 $0 +2%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 17, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 17 $6 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 17 $8 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 17 $6 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 17, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 17 $10 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 17 $6 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 17 $27 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 17 $9 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 17, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 17 $4 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 17 $8 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 17 $6 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 17 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 17 $7 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 17 $10 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 17 $9 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 17, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 12PM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 17 $16 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 17 $10 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 17 $8 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 17 $18 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 17 $11 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 17 $7 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 17 $15 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 17 $8 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 17 $11 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 17 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 17 $7 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $7 6m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 17, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 21m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $6 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $7 26m
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 26m
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 26m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $6 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $12 36m
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 36m
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 36m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $6 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $8 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $7 47m
BNB Up or Down - June 17, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $9 56m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 56m
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $7 1h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 17, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $7 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $6 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $8 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 17, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $27 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $6 1h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 17, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $12.47 · official $12.47 (match) · 319 history records