Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T06:54:38+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

02
0x0298…5fcf
crypto · 18 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$1,107 -73%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,107 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,107
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)11%
Wins / losses2 / 16
Open positions0
Markets (closed)18 / 18
History coverage1d
Avg bet$84
Trades / day40.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit89%
Chart Positions 0 History 18 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,107
7 days−$1,107
14 days−$1,107
30 days−$1,107
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $75 $0 −$75 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $75 $0 −$75 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $75 $0 −$75 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $95 $0 −$95 (-100%)
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Yes 17¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $75 $0 −$75 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 54¢ 0¢ $500 $0 −$500 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $78 −$75 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 13 $89 −$35 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $63 −$60 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $78 −$75 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 13 $78 −$75 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 13 $26 −$25 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 12 $52 −$50 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $26 −$25 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $53 −$50 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $53 −$50 -95%
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $51 −$50 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $26 −$25 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $101 −$95 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $26 −$25 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $79 +$92 +117%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $52 +$91 +173%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $78 −$75 -96%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $507 −$500 -99%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 63% −$557
other 37% −$550
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 27¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET SELL Up 32¢ $29 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET SELL Up 33¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET SELL Up 28¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $52 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $52 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $26 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $52 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $26 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $26 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $26 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $26 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $53 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $53 13h
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 17¢ $51 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $26 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $11 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 7¢ $11 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 9¢ $27 13h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +11%
net ROI/market (all)-75.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 18 -72.8% -75.4% 11% 11% -80.0%
≤30d 18 -72.8% -75.4% 11% 11% -80.0%
≤90d 18 -72.8% -75.4% 11% 11% -80.0%
all 18 -72.8% -75.4% 11% 11% -80.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover40.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -75.4% 11% -80.0%
10% ← realistic here -77.7% 11% -81.9%
15% -79.9% 11% -83.7%
20% -81.8% 11% -85.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 41 history records