trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 1 | +0.4% | -9.1% | 100% | 0% | -9.1% |
| ≤90d | 4 | +21.8% | +10.2% | 75% | 25% | +30.6% |
| all | 20 | -5.9% | -14.8% | 25% | 15% | -11.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -14.8% | 15% | -11.9% |
| 10% | -23.0% | 10% | -20.3% |
| 15% | -30.4% | 10% | -28.0% |
| 20% | -37.2% | 10% | -35.1% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ebola pandemic in 2026? | No | 93¢ | 92¢ | $39 | $38 | −$1 (-2%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Jun 12 | $83 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | May 04 | $76 | $0 | -0% |
| Penguins vs. Blues | Apr 15 | $230 | +$181 | +79% |
| Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Apr 01 | $24 | +$2 | +8% |
| Miami Open: Corentin Moutet vs Tomas Machac | Mar 22 | $256 | −$256 | -100% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? | Mar 18 | $295 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran? | Mar 18 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 mee | Mar 14 | $2 | −$1 | -33% |
| Will Malta win Eurovision 2026? | Mar 14 | $10 | −$1 | -14% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Mar 09 | $25 | +$3 | +13% |
| Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | Mar 09 | $8 | +$6 | +74% |
| Will Sentimental Value win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | Mar 09 | $2 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Italy win Eurovision 2026? | Mar 09 | $4 | −$1 | -30% |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Mar 05 | $294 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Mar 05 | $7 | −$1 | -14% |
| Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Feb 28 | $296 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Los Angeles Clippers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Feb 24 | $296 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship? | Feb 20 | $296 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in February? | Feb 18 | $298 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Feb 16 | $295 | $0 | -0% |