Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T08:00:31+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

02
0x02a6…716a
crypto · 1568 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1,228 -14%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,033 · open +$16
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$41
Realized−$1,033
Unrealized+$16
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses750 / 813
Open positions5
Markets (closed)1563 / 1568
History coverage57d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day35.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 5 History 1563 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$119
7 days+$121
14 days+$121
30 days+$121
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Up 55¢ 100¢ $5 $9 +$4 (+82%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Up 58¢ 94¢ $5 $8 +$3 (+61%)
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Up 55¢ 88¢ $5 $8 +$3 (+59%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Up 63¢ 100¢ $5 $8 +$3 (+59%)
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Up 58¢ 92¢ $5 $8 +$3 (+57%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$3 +60%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$3 +65%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +42%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$4 +79%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$4 +86%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$4 +75%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +40%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +36%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +40%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +42%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$3 +60%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +48%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$3 +62%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +39%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$4 +70%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +46%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$3 +57%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +20%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +34%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +28%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$4 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$4 +83%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$3 +60%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +34%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +42%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$3 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$4 +86%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +57%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$4 +70%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +36%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$3 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +38%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +45%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +32%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$3 +60%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$1 +46%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$1,017
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $5 5m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $5 5m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $5 5m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $5 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $5 10m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $5 10m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $5 10m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $5 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $5 15m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $5 15m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $5 20m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $5 20m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $5 20m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $5 25m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $5 25m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $5 29m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $5 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $5 29m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $5 29m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $5 34m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $5 34m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $5 34m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $5 39m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $5 39m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $5 39m
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $5 44m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $5 49m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $5 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $5 49m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)-18.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 363 +6.0% -4.1% 68% 67% -3.5%
≤30d 363 +6.0% -4.1% 68% 67% -3.5%
≤90d 1563 -9.7% -18.3% 48% 46% -20.4%
all 1563 -9.7% -18.3% 48% 46% -20.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover35.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -18.3% 46% -20.4%
10% ← realistic here -26.1% 45% -28.0%
15% -33.3% 42% -34.9%
20% -39.8% 35% -41.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $40.92 · official $40.89 (match) · 3500 history records