Wallet analysis

2026-06-20T10:17:35+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
02 0x02ad…2448 crypto 162 markets active 2h ago coverage 5d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (227 trades/day) — uncopyable
Total PnL +$1,030 (+15%) realized +$1,030 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +84% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt +42% what you keep after slip
Net edge+42%after slip
Net WR52%break-even
Win rate52%84W / 78L
Drawdown68%max
Avg bet$42per market
Trades / day227.5pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 5d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$2,750
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (227 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +52%
net ROI/market (all)+66.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 162 +83.9% +66.4% 52% 52% +27.6%
≤30d 162 +83.9% +66.4% 52% 52% +27.6%
≤90d 162 +83.9% +66.4% 52% 52% +27.6%
all 162 +83.9% +66.4% 52% 52% +27.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover227.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +66.4% 52% +27.6%
10% ← realistic here +50.5% 52% +15.4%
15% +35.9% 52% +4.2%
20% +22.6% 52% -6.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 28% · top 2 32% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +41% fresh edge ✓
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +84% · $-wt +41% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +71% → late +97% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
7.5 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$75 vs −$46 · ×1.65 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×1.77 per $1 lost it wins $1.77
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

5d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$1,030
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses84 / 78
Open positions0
Markets (closed)162 / 162
History coverage5d
Avg bet$42
Trades / day227.5
Drawdown68%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 162 Trades
no open positions (77 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 20 $1,217 +$1,783 +146%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 20 $54 −$52 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 20 $1,029 −$994 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 20 $1,036 −$1,000 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 20 $50 −$1 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 20 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 20 $28 +$72 +257%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 20 $11 +$29 +251%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 20 $25 −$24 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 20 $28 −$28 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 20 $28 −$28 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 20 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 20 $28 +$72 +257%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 20 $6 +$14 +233%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 20 $22 +$58 +264%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 19 $26 −$25 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 19 $27 −$27 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 19 $6 +$14 +245%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 19 $12 +$28 +239%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 19 $17 +$43 +245%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 19 $23 +$57 +251%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 19 $12 +$28 +239%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 19 $12 +$28 +239%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 19 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 19 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 19 $28 −$28 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 19 $17 +$43 +245%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 19 $44 +$110 +252%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 19 $35 +$65 +185%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 19 $17 +$52 +298%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 19 $28 +$72 +257%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 19 $27 +$68 +257%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 19 $27 −$27 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 19 $28 +$72 +257%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 19 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 19 $28 −$28 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 19 $6 +$14 +233%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 19 $28 +$72 +257%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 19 $28 +$72 +257%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 19 $28 −$28 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 19 $28 −$28 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 19 $28 −$28 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 19 $28 +$72 +257%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 19 $6 +$14 +233%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 19 $33 −$33 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 19 $28 +$72 +257%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 19 $31 +$89 +292%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 19 $12 +$28 +239%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 19 $34 −$34 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 19 $22 −$22 -99%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $751 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $176 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $290 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 18¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1,029 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $1,036 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $14 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $14 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $3 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1297 history records