Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T22:07:00+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

02
0x02b1…c764
other · 523 markets active 1h ago
0.5score
−$3,568 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$3,568 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$3,568
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)63%
Wins / losses327 / 196
Whale WR (big bets)81%
Est. fees paid−$64
Open positions0
Markets (closed)523 / 523
History coverage163d
Avg bet$489
Trades / day20.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit44%
Chart Positions 0 History 523 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$91
7 days−$541
14 days−$127
30 days−$127
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Spread: Toronto Tempo (-7.5) Toronto Tempo 53¢ 0¢ $159 $0 −$159 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $127 +$132 +104%
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova Jun 12 $242 −$20 -8%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $86 −$74 -86%
KBO: Lotte Giants vs. LG Twins Jun 12 $280 −$190 -68%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $139 +$61 +44%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Forsaken (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B Jun 11 $103 $0 -0%
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-09? Jun 10 $240 −$240 -100%
Will Málaga CF vs. UD Las Palmas end in a draw? Jun 10 $4 +$11 +313%
Besiktas vs. Bahcesehir Koleji Jun 10 $200 +$143 +72%
Spread: Toronto Tempo (-7.5) Jun 10 $161 −$159 -99%
Will Tajikistan win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $156 −$156 -100%
Will Azerbaijan vs. San Marino end in a draw? Jun 09 $125 −$80 -64%
Will Hungary vs. Kazakhstan end in a draw? Jun 09 $147 −$117 -79%
Will China PR vs. Thailand end in a draw? Jun 09 $85 +$63 +74%
Will China PR win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $108 −$33 -31%
Will Vila Nova FC win on 2026-06-08? Jun 09 $146 +$54 +37%
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-08? Jun 08 $163 +$37 +23%
Modena: Xiyu Wang vs Laura Samson Jun 08 $124 −$45 -36%
Stuttgart Open: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Mattia Bellucci Jun 08 $203 −$21 -10%
T20 Asian Games, Qualifier: Nepal vs Hong Kong, China Jun 08 $54 +$29 +54%
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Jun 08 $309 $0 -0%
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential elect Jun 08 $101 −$1 -1%
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-07? Jun 08 $186 +$14 +8%
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-07? Jun 07 $130 −$93 -72%
Will Denmark win on 2026-06-07? Jun 07 $362 +$100 +28%
Prostejov: Sebastian Baez vs Alex Molcan Jun 07 $138 +$62 +45%
Will United States vs. Germany end in a draw? Jun 07 $0 $0 -100%
Will FC Mito Holly Hock vs. V-Varen Nagasaki end in a draw? Jun 07 $57 −$38 -66%
Will Urawa Red Diamonds vs. Fagiano Okayama end in a draw? Jun 07 $60 −$60 -100%
Will Kawasaki Frontale vs. Sanfrecce Hiroshima end in a draw? Jun 07 $50 −$50 -100%
Will Kawasaki Frontale win on 2026-06-06? Jun 07 $21 −$21 -100%
Spread: Curaçao (-1.5) Jun 07 $149 +$56 +37%
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-06? Jun 07 $131 +$69 +52%
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $119 −$94 -79%
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $343 −$11 -3%
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $133 +$65 +48%
Will Germany win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $150 −$59 -40%
Will Sierra Leone win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $270 +$15 +6%
Will Criciúma EC win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $150 +$31 +21%
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $152 +$48 +31%
Will Myanmar win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $166 +$34 +20%
Will Hungary win on 2026-06-05? Jun 05 $123 +$76 +62%
Will Tajikistan win on 2026-06-05? Jun 05 $147 +$53 +36%
Will China PR win on 2026-06-05? Jun 05 $125 +$74 +59%
Golden State Valkyries vs. Minnesota Lynx Jun 05 $125 +$75 +60%
Will CS Cienciano vs. CS Cristal end in a draw? Jun 04 $108 −$80 -74%
Will CR Brasil win on 2026-05-31? Jun 04 $114 −$114 -100%
Spread: Spain (-2.5) Jun 04 $115 −$106 -92%
Will Slovenia win on 2026-06-04? Jun 04 $78 +$13 +16%
ITF Kayseri: Irem Kurt vs Selina Atay Jun 04 $98 +$31 +31%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 78% +$1,370
sports 20% −$4,634
culture 1% −$279
finance 0% +$32
world 0% +$125
crypto 0% −$183
politics 0% −$2
tech 0% +$3
weather 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? SELL Yes 100¢ $200 56m
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? SELL Yes 30¢ $59 1h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY Yes 31¢ $127 2h
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova SELL Iva Jovic 100¢ $180 5h
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Iva Jovic 75¢ $136 5h
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova SELL Amanda Anisimova 21¢ $11 5h
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova SELL Amanda Anisimova 21¢ $12 5h
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova SELL Amanda Anisimova 21¢ $17 5h
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova SELL Amanda Anisimova 21¢ $2 5h
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Amanda Anisimova 52¢ $105 6h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL T1 4¢ $4 10h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL T1 4¢ $8 10h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 28¢ $86 10h
KBO: Lotte Giants vs. LG Twins SELL LG Twins 10¢ $4 10h
KBO: Lotte Giants vs. LG Twins SELL LG Twins 11¢ $43 10h
KBO: Lotte Giants vs. LG Twins BUY LG Twins 22¢ $0 11h
KBO: Lotte Giants vs. LG Twins BUY LG Twins 22¢ $2 11h
KBO: Lotte Giants vs. LG Twins BUY LG Twins 22¢ $26 11h
KBO: Lotte Giants vs. LG Twins BUY LG Twins 15¢ $0 11h
KBO: Lotte Giants vs. LG Twins BUY LG Twins 56¢ $57 12h
KBO: Lotte Giants vs. LG Twins SELL Lotte Giants 44¢ $43 12h
KBO: Lotte Giants vs. LG Twins BUY Lotte Giants 45¢ $46 12h
KBO: Lotte Giants vs. LG Twins BUY LG Twins 69¢ $36 13h
KBO: Lotte Giants vs. LG Twins BUY LG Twins 70¢ $7 13h
KBO: Lotte Giants vs. LG Twins BUY LG Twins 70¢ $7 13h
KBO: Lotte Giants vs. LG Twins BUY LG Twins 70¢ $66 14h
KBO: Lotte Giants vs. LG Twins BUY LG Twins 69¢ $33 14h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 69¢ $139 27h
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Forsaken (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B SELL Team Heretics Academy 89¢ $6 28h
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Forsaken (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B SELL Team Heretics Academy 91¢ $37 28h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)-9.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 41 -8.0% -16.8% 44% 39% -17.6%
≤30d 63 +3.4% -6.4% 48% 43% -10.9%
≤90d 176 +0.4% -9.2% 52% 45% -7.8%
all 523 +0.3% -9.3% 63% 41% -10.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover20.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.3% 41% -10.8%
10% ← realistic here -17.9% 22% -19.3%
15% -25.9% 15% -27.1%
20% -33.1% 10% -34.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records