Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T02:24:37+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

02
0x02b6…569a
crypto · 160 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$348 -14%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$348 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$348
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)45%
Wins / losses83 / 101
Open positions0
Markets (closed)184 / 160
History coverage88d
Avg bet$16
Trades / day7.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit86%
Chart Positions 0 History 184 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$100
7 days−$100
14 days−$100
30 days−$100
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026? Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026? Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026? Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026? Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026? Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $32 −$30 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $48 +$10 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 13 $16 −$15 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 13 $14 +$5 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$5 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$5 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $19 +$11 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $19 −$18 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$6 -57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $26 +$11 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$8 +148%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$6 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $15 −$14 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $31 −$5 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 96% −$213
other 4% −$101
weather 0% −$8
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $32 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET SELL Up 76¢ $8 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET SELL Up 76¢ $1 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET SELL Up 76¢ $4 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET SELL Up 76¢ $5 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET SELL Up 76¢ $4 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET SELL Up 76¢ $4 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET SELL Up 76¢ $4 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET SELL Up 76¢ $3 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $26 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET SELL Up 60¢ $26 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $22 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET SELL Up 60¢ $12 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $10 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 5¢ $10 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $5 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET SELL Down 60¢ $5 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $4 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET SELL Up 60¢ $3 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET SELL Up 60¢ $11 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $10 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $9 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET SELL Down 50¢ $1 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET SELL Down 50¢ $4 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET SELL Down 50¢ $2 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET SELL Down 50¢ $1 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET SELL Up 63¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET SELL Up 63¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)-28.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 147 -19.3% -27.0% 46% 44% -14.6%
≤30d 147 -19.3% -27.0% 46% 44% -14.6%
≤90d 184 -20.7% -28.3% 45% 42% -22.3%
all 184 -20.7% -28.3% 45% 42% -22.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover7.0 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -28.3% 42% -22.3%
10% -35.2% 36% -29.7%
15% -41.4% 33% -36.5%
20% -47.2% 26% -42.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 721 history records