trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 12 | -3.8% | -12.9% | 42% | 42% | -30.4% |
| ≤30d | 12 | -3.8% | -12.9% | 42% | 42% | -30.4% |
| ≤90d | 12 | -3.8% | -12.9% | 42% | 42% | -30.4% |
| all | 12 | -3.8% | -12.9% | 42% | 42% | -30.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -12.9% | 42% | -30.4% |
| 10% | -21.3% | 42% | -37.1% |
| 15% | -28.9% | 33% | -43.1% |
| 20% | -35.9% | 25% | -48.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 4¢ | 5¢ | $80 | $91 | +$11 (+14%) |
| Will Warsh say "Trump" during June Press Conference? | Yes | 20¢ | 20¢ | $4 | $4 | +$0 (+2%) |
| Will Trump say "CIA" this week? | Yes | 20¢ | 15¢ | $2 | $2 | −$0 (-25%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cabo Verde to score first vs. Spain? | Jun 15 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Both Teams to Score | Jun 15 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 5.5 | Jun 15 | $3 | −$3 | -98% |
| Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on June 15? | Jun 15 | $3 | −$1 | -33% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $9 | −$9 | -98% |
| Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 6.5 | Jun 14 | $3 | +$8 | +256% |
| Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on June 14? | Jun 14 | $3 | +$3 | +99% |
| Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on June 13? | Jun 12 | $2 | $0 | +29% |
| Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on June 13? | Jun 12 | $1 | $0 | +50% |
| Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on June 12? | Jun 12 | $7 | −$5 | -68% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET | Jun 11 | $10 | −$4 | -34% |
| Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on June 11? | Jun 11 | $4 | +$3 | +93% |