trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | -100.0% | -100.0% | 0% | 0% | -100.0% |
| ≤30d | 4 | -100.0% | -100.0% | 0% | 0% | -100.0% |
| ≤90d | 4 | -100.0% | -100.0% | 0% | 0% | -100.0% |
| all | 517 | +7.3% | -2.9% | 61% | 57% | -15.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -2.9% | 57% | -15.7% |
| 10% | -12.2% | 49% | -23.7% |
| 15% | -20.7% | 39% | -31.1% |
| 20% | -28.5% | 27% | -37.9% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21? | Yes | 61¢ | 62¢ | $61 | $62 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21? | Yes | 42¢ | 70¢ | $21 | $35 | +$14 (+68%) |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 7¢ | 7¢ | $11 | $11 | −$1 (-6%) |
| Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-21? | No | 84¢ | 84¢ | $7 | $7 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $88 | −$88 | -99% |
| Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 21 | $49 | −$49 | -100% |
| Will Atletico Madrid beat Barcelona? | Jun 09 | $77 | −$77 | -100% |
| Will Barcelona beat Atletico Madrid? | Jun 09 | $174 | −$174 | -100% |
| Will Arsenal win on 2024-12-21? | Dec 21 | $162 | +$86 | +53% |
| Will West Ham win on 2024-12-21? | Dec 21 | $146 | +$20 | +13% |
| Will Nottingham Forest win on 2024-12-21? | Dec 21 | $59 | +$7 | +12% |
| Will Brentford win on 2024-12-21? | Dec 21 | $28 | +$18 | +64% |
| Will Newcastle win on 2024-12-21? | Dec 21 | $35 | +$25 | +71% |
| Will Aston Villa win on 2024-12-21? | Dec 21 | $51 | −$51 | -100% |
| Thunder vs. Heat | Dec 21 | $10 | +$10 | +92% |
| Bucks vs. Cavaliers | Dec 21 | $31 | +$9 | +30% |
| Hornets vs. 76ers | Dec 21 | $75 | +$12 | +15% |
| Will Bayern Munich beat RB Leipzig? | Dec 20 | $91 | +$25 | +28% |
| Bulls vs. Celtics | Dec 20 | $71 | −$71 | -100% |
| Jazz vs. Pistons | Dec 20 | $114 | −$114 | -100% |
| Hornets vs. Wizards | Dec 20 | $7 | +$13 | +170% |
| Thunder vs. Magic | Dec 20 | $43 | +$17 | +39% |
| Carabao Cup: Tottenham vs. Manchester United | Dec 19 | $150 | +$97 | +65% |
| Western Kentucky vs. James Madison | Dec 19 | $2 | +$1 | +39% |
| Carabao Cup: Southampton vs. Liverpool | Dec 18 | $129 | +$17 | +14% |
| Carabao Cup: Arsenal vs. Crystal Palace | Dec 18 | $82 | +$47 | +57% |
| Will Israel invade Syria in 2024? | Dec 18 | $619 | −$76 | -12% |
| Heat vs. Pistons | Dec 17 | $19 | −$19 | -100% |
| Cavaliers vs. Nets | Dec 17 | $33 | +$7 | +22% |
| Will West Ham win on 2024-12-16? | Dec 16 | $53 | +$10 | +19% |
| Will Bournemouth win on 2024-12-16? | Dec 16 | $23 | −$21 | -93% |
| Bills vs. Lions | Dec 16 | $65 | +$19 | +29% |
| Will Manchester City win on 2024-12-15? | Dec 15 | $56 | −$56 | -100% |
| Commanders vs. Saints | Dec 15 | $63 | +$12 | +19% |
| Chiefs vs. Browns | Dec 15 | $9 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Chelsea win on 2024-12-15? | Dec 15 | $66 | +$9 | +13% |
| Will Brighton win on 2024-12-15? | Dec 15 | $150 | −$150 | -100% |
| Will Crystal Palace win on 2024-12-15? | Dec 15 | $243 | −$242 | -100% |
| Ducks vs. Blue Jackets | Dec 15 | $21 | −$21 | -100% |
| Rockets vs. Thunder | Dec 15 | $159 | +$71 | +45% |
| Navy vs. Army | Dec 15 | $39 | −$13 | -32% |
| Hawks vs. Bucks | Dec 15 | $228 | +$131 | +57% |
| Will Aston Villa win on 2024-12-14? | Dec 14 | $130 | +$70 | +54% |
| Will Arsenal win on 2024-12-14? | Dec 14 | $43 | −$43 | -100% |
| Will Ipswich win on 2024-12-14? | Dec 14 | $62 | −$62 | -100% |
| Will Liverpool win on 2024-12-14? | Dec 14 | $82 | +$98 | +120% |
| Will Fulham win on 2024-12-14? | Dec 14 | $33 | −$27 | -82% |
| Will Newcastle win on 2024-12-14? | Dec 14 | $24 | −$13 | -54% |
| Clippers vs. Nuggets | Dec 14 | $26 | +$12 | +45% |
| Wizards vs. Cavaliers | Dec 14 | $37 | +$3 | +8% |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies | Dec 14 | $125 | +$29 | +24% |
| Raptors vs. Heat | Dec 13 | $32 | +$8 | +24% |
| Kings vs. Pelicans | Dec 13 | $49 | +$19 | +39% |
| Pistons vs. Celtics | Dec 13 | $68 | +$12 | +18% |