Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T09:42:05+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

02
0x02d0…1c13
crypto · 173 markets active 7h ago
3.0score
+$72 +14%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$58 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$58
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)51%
Wins / losses89 / 84
Open positions0
Markets (closed)173 / 173
History coverage8d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day24.6
Drawdown79%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 0 History 173 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$45
7 days+$53
14 days+$58
30 days+$58
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Up 13¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$8 +84%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +150%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +44%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$4 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$5 +51%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$2 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$5 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$3 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +51%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 13 $8 +$3 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$4 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$3 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$8 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +127%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $25 −$24 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$3 +156%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$5 +237%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +69%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$2 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -95%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 95% +$82
other 5% −$24
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $10 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $2 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $5 19h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $5 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $5 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $10 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $5 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $2 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $10 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $10 25h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $10 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $10 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $10 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $5 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $5 27h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $5 28h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET SELL Down 67¢ $12 28h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $6 28h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Down 24¢ $2 28h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $10 28h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $10 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $28 34h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $20 34h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $2 34h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $3 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +51%
net ROI/market (all)+0.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 148 +12.7% +2.0% 49% 49% +1.5%
≤30d 173 +11.5% +0.9% 51% 51% +1.1%
≤90d 173 +11.5% +0.9% 51% 51% +1.1%
all 173 +11.5% +0.9% 51% 51% +1.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover24.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +0.9% 51% +1.1%
10% ← realistic here -8.7% 49% -8.5%
15% -17.6% 45% -17.4%
20% -25.6% 38% -25.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 265 history records