Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T00:29:36+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

02
0x02d5…827c
crypto · 43 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$58 -19%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$57 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$4
Realized−$57
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses20 / 22
Open positions1
Markets (closed)42 / 43
History coverage1d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day100.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 42 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$57
7 days−$57
14 days−$57
30 days−$57
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Down 58¢ 52¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-9%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Down 61¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+64%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Up 58¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+72%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Up 52¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+92%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Down 60¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+67%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Down 61¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+64%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Down 75¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$3 -91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$3 -83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$4 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $48 −$36 -74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $93 −$12 -13%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $17 +$4 +25%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$58
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $3 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $3 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $4 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET SELL Up 12¢ $1 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET SELL Down 27¢ $1 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $3 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET SELL Down 28¢ $1 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $3 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET SELL Up 4¢ $0 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $3 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $3 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $3 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $4 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $4 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET SELL Down 38¢ $2 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $3 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET SELL Up 36¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET SELL Up 33¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET SELL Down 35¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET SELL Up 5¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $3 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-38.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 42 -31.6% -38.1% 48% 40% -25.1%
≤30d 42 -31.6% -38.1% 48% 40% -25.1%
≤90d 42 -31.6% -38.1% 48% 40% -25.1%
all 42 -31.6% -38.1% 48% 40% -25.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover100.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -38.1% 40% -25.1%
10% ← realistic here -44.0% 29% -32.2%
15% -49.4% 21% -38.8%
20% -54.4% 19% -44.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $3.82 · official $3.23 (match) · 125 history records