Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T22:39:06+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
02 0x02e2…9177 crypto 1902 markets active 3h ago coverage 17d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 16d only
✗ bot/MM pace (195 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$1,199 (-12%) realized −$1,199 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -31% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -47% what you keep after slip
Net edge-47%after slip
Net WR16%break-even
Win rate24%184W / 579L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$5per market
Trades / day195.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$152
7 days−$1,092
14 days−$1,044
30 days−$832
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 74% +$173
weather 25% −$807
other 1% −$47
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (195 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +16%
net ROI/market (all)-37.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 492 -27.7% -34.6% 36% 24% -20.2%
≤30d 763 -31.4% -37.9% 24% 16% -19.8%
≤90d 763 -31.4% -37.9% 24% 16% -19.8%
all 763 -31.4% -37.9% 24% 16% -19.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover195.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -37.9% 16% -19.8%
10% ← realistic here -43.8% 12% -27.5%
15% -49.3% 11% -34.5%
20% -54.2% 10% -40.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 6% · top 2 12% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -9% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
32% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -31% · $-wt -9% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -20% → late -43% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.7 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$4 vs −$3 · ×1.54 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×0.49 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

17d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,199
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)24%
Wins / losses184 / 579
Open positions0
Markets (closed)763 / 1902
History coverage17d ⚠
Avg bet$5
Trades / day195.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 763 Trades
no open positions (500 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 17 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 10h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records