trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 11 | -11.9% | -20.3% | 45% | 45% | -35.5% |
| ≤30d | 32 | -27.2% | -34.2% | 41% | 41% | -22.1% |
| ≤90d | 32 | -27.2% | -34.2% | 41% | 41% | -22.1% |
| all | 37 | -30.6% | -37.2% | 38% | 38% | -76.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -37.2% | 38% | -76.5% |
| 10% | -43.3% | 38% | -78.8% |
| 15% | -48.7% | 38% | -80.8% |
| 20% | -53.8% | 27% | -82.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will USA reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 19¢ | 17¢ | $95 | $85 | −$10 (-11%) |
| Will USA reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | Yes | 5¢ | 5¢ | $47 | $47 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Mexico reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 14¢ | 14¢ | $42 | $40 | −$2 (-4%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 9.5 Total Corners | Jun 28 | $10 | +$10 | +97% |
| Spread: Netherlands (-3.5) | Jun 26 | $7 | +$3 | +46% |
| Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire: 1st Half O/U 1.5 | Jun 25 | $14 | −$14 | -99% |
| Spread: Germany (-1.5) | Jun 25 | $8 | −$8 | -100% |
| Will Australia win on 2026-06-25? | Jun 25 | $19 | −$18 | -98% |
| South Africa vs. Korea Republic: Korea Republic O/U 1.5 | Jun 25 | $5 | +$5 | +108% |
| Colombia vs. DR Congo: 2nd Half O/U 4.5 Total Corners | Jun 24 | $5 | +$5 | +108% |
| Spread: Portugal (-2.5) | Jun 23 | $10 | −$10 | -99% |
| Jordan vs. Algeria: O/U 8.5 Total Corners | Jun 23 | $5 | −$3 | -57% |
| Norway vs. Senegal: O/U 9.5 Total Corners | Jun 22 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 9.5 Total Corners | Jun 22 | $10 | +$6 | +67% |
| Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 1.5 | Jun 21 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 2.5 | Jun 21 | $45 | +$55 | +122% |
| Spread: Brazil (-3.5) | Jun 20 | $7 | +$3 | +44% |
| United States vs. Australia: Australia O/U 1.5 | Jun 19 | $9 | −$9 | -100% |
| United States vs. Australia: O/U 2.5 | Jun 19 | $5 | −$5 | -99% |
| Türkiye vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 1.5 | Jun 19 | $3 | −$3 | -98% |
| Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 8.5 Total Corners | Jun 19 | $5 | +$5 | +86% |
| Canada vs. Qatar: O/U 10.5 Total Corners | Jun 18 | $6 | −$6 | -99% |
| Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: Colombia O/U 1.5 | Jun 18 | $6 | +$4 | +61% |
| Spread: Ghana (-1.5) | Jun 17 | $6 | −$6 | -98% |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $8 | −$8 | -100% |
| Will Australia win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 16 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Belgium vs. Egypt: Belgium O/U 1.5 | Jun 15 | $11 | −$11 | -100% |
| Spread: Knicks (-10.5) | Jun 13 | $13 | −$13 | -100% |
| Spread: Spurs (-13.5) | Jun 13 | $8 | −$8 | -98% |
| United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 | Jun 13 | $5 | +$5 | +100% |
| United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 | Jun 13 | $13 | +$7 | +50% |
| United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 9.5 Total Corners | Jun 13 | $6 | +$3 | +53% |
| Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 9.5 Total Corners | Jun 12 | $18 | −$17 | -99% |
| Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 | Jun 12 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5 | Jun 11 | $14 | +$6 | +44% |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Cup? | Dec 20 | $237 | +$328 | +138% |
| Will there be a safety car during the 2025 F1 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix? | Dec 06 | $52 | −$52 | -100% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150k in October? | Oct 07 | $332 | −$332 | -100% |
| Pacers vs. Thunder | Jun 22 | $848 | −$848 | -100% |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Apr 01 | $1,400 | −$1,400 | -100% |