trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 8 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 38% | 0% | -9.1% |
| ≤30d | 14 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 29% | 0% | -9.3% |
| ≤90d | 16 | -7.6% | -16.4% | 25% | 0% | -9.3% |
| all | 21 | -9.8% | -18.4% | 38% | 5% | -10.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -18.4% | 5% | -10.4% |
| 10% | -26.2% | 0% | -19.0% |
| 15% | -33.3% | 0% | -26.8% |
| 20% | -39.8% | 0% | -34.0% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026 | Jun 18 | $27 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 16 | $26 | −$1 | -3% |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Jun 15 | $37 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 14 | $32 | −$1 | -3% |
| Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by | Jun 14 | $38 | $0 | +0% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Jun 13 | $38 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30? | Jun 12 | $34 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30? | Jun 11 | $70 | +$3 | +5% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Jun 09 | $27 | $0 | +0% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? | Jun 06 | $36 | $0 | -0% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | Jun 06 | $40 | $0 | +0% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | Jun 05 | $30 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran leadership change by June 30? | Jun 05 | $30 | $0 | -0% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? | Jun 04 | $34 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Superman be the top grossing movie of 2025? | Apr 01 | $1 | $0 | -20% |
| Will Ashwin Adhin be the next president of Suriname after the election | Apr 01 | $0 | $0 | -100% |
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model on May 31? | Jun 01 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the St. Louis Blues win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | May 08 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Illinois State vs. Southern Illinois | Mar 04 | $8 | −$8 | -100% |
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model on February 28? | Feb 25 | $8 | $0 | +3% |
| Arkansas vs. Auburn | Feb 20 | $7 | +$1 | +12% |