Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T20:57:57+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

02
0x02fe…a6f3
crypto · 382 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$828 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$828 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$828
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)38%
Wins / losses145 / 237
Open positions0
Markets (closed)382 / 382
History coverage24d
Avg bet$48
Trades / day111.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 382 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$124
7 days+$124
14 days+$124
30 days−$828
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 13 $30 +$10 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $39 −$39 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $31 +$29 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $49 +$16 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $20 +$14 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 13 $21 +$11 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 13 $40 +$15 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 13 $21 +$12 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 13 $41 −$41 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 13 $20 +$10 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$8 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 13 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$6 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 13 $37 +$22 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$9 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $41 +$21 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$9 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$14 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$13 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$16 +81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$19 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$8 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET May 27 $72 −$11 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET May 27 $25 −$7 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET May 27 $22 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET May 27 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET May 27 $51 +$39 +77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET May 27 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET May 27 $58 +$6 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET May 27 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET May 27 $68 −$25 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET May 27 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET May 27 $29 −$24 -82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET May 27 $24 +$22 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET May 27 $29 −$29 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET May 27 $36 +$4 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET May 27 $15 +$4 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET May 27 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET May 27 $20 +$15 +74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET May 27 $17 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET May 27 $36 +$14 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET May 27 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET May 27 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET May 27 $26 −$10 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET May 27 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET May 27 $20 −$16 -79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET May 27 $18 −$3 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET May 27 $18 +$1 +5%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$828
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $30 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $31 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $31 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $14 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $10 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $19 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $14 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $6 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $21 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $20 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $20 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $20 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $21 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $20 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $20 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $20 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $15 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $19 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $20 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $20 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $17 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $20 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $2 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $0 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $2 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $16 18h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +21%
net ROI/market (all)-25.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 24 +23.3% +11.5% 79% 79% +8.4%
≤30d 382 -17.6% -25.4% 38% 21% -13.6%
≤90d 382 -17.6% -25.4% 38% 21% -13.6%
all 382 -17.6% -25.4% 38% 21% -13.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover111.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -25.4% 21% -13.6%
10% ← realistic here -32.6% 15% -21.8%
15% -39.1% 11% -29.4%
20% -45.1% 8% -36.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records