Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T19:30:47+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

03
0x030e…3033
crypto · 728 markets active 1h ago
2.0score
+$11 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$11 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$11
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses396 / 332
Open positions0
Markets (closed)728 / 728
History coverage76d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day13.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 728 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$4
7 days+$3
14 days+$6
30 days+$10
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Up 35¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+186%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Down 27¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - March 28, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Down 78¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$3 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$2 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +102%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +143%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +107%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$2 +163%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$2 +157%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +10%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$11
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $1 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET SELL Up 85¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET SELL Down 58¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET SELL Up 85¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET SELL Down 92¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET SELL Up 97¢ $3 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $3 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $2 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET SELL Down 88¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET SELL Up 91¢ $3 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $1 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET SELL Up 94¢ $2 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $1 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $1 20h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +52%
net ROI/market (all)-8.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 256 +4.3% -5.7% 61% 57% -8.5%
≤30d 710 +1.1% -8.5% 55% 52% -8.2%
≤90d 728 +1.3% -8.3% 54% 52% -8.1%
all 728 +1.3% -8.3% 54% 52% -8.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover13.5 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -8.3% 52% -8.1%
10% -17.1% 46% -16.9%
15% -25.1% 35% -25.0%
20% -32.5% 26% -32.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.30 · official $0.00 (match) · 1196 history records