Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T15:59:38+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

03
0x0334…45d8
crypto · 1751 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$351 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$165 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Net worth$0
Realized−$165
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)82%
Wins / losses1546 / 345
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1891 / 1751
History coverage12d
Avg bet$44
Trades / day156.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1891 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$87
7 days−$1,040
14 days−$165
30 days−$165
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
XRP Up or Down - May 30, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Down 95¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Down 18¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Up 79¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Down 95¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Down 85¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Up 91¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Down 74¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Down 90¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Up 76¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Down 68¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Up 83¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Down 87¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Up 84¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Up 88¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Up 58¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Up 32¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Down 77¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 30, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Down 90¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Down 96¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Down 84¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Down 90¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Down 59¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Down 81¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Down 88¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Down 28¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - May 30, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 30, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 30, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 30, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 31, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 31, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 30, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 30, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 30, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 31, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 31, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$27
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $20 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $60 33m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $20 50m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $20 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $60 51m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $20 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $20 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $20 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $20 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $20 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET SELL Down 63¢ $13 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $20 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $20 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $20 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $20 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $20 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $20 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $60 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $20 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $60 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $20 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $20 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $20 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $20 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $20 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $20 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $20 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-17.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1446 -11.3% -19.7% 79% 33% -12.6%
≤30d 1891 -8.5% -17.2% 82% 33% -9.7%
≤90d 1891 -8.5% -17.2% 82% 33% -9.7%
all 1891 -8.5% -17.2% 82% 33% -9.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover156.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.2% 33% -9.7%
10% ← realistic here -25.1% 7% -18.4%
15% -32.3% 2% -26.2%
20% -39.0% 1% -33.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records