trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | -23.8% | -31.1% | 50% | 50% | -57.3% |
| ≤30d | 6 | -59.9% | -63.7% | 17% | 17% | -62.9% |
| ≤90d | 6 | -59.9% | -63.7% | 17% | 17% | -62.9% |
| all | 6 | -59.9% | -63.7% | 17% | 17% | -62.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -63.7% | 17% | -62.9% |
| 10% | -67.2% | 17% | -66.5% |
| 15% | -70.4% | 17% | -69.7% |
| 20% | -73.3% | 0% | -72.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026? | Yes | 19¢ | 22¢ | $149 | $166 | +$17 (+11%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? | Jun 16 | $100 | +$47 | +47% |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? | Jun 16 | $237 | −$225 | -95% |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? | Jun 12 | $115 | −$91 | -79% |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? | Jun 11 | $5 | −$5 | -95% |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? | Jun 06 | $213 | −$96 | -45% |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? | Jun 05 | $90 | −$79 | -88% |