Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T23:53:21+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

03
0x0339…6c17
crypto · 136 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$64 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$63 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$20
Realized−$63
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)46%
Wins / losses61 / 73
Est. fees paid−$12
Open positions2
Markets (closed)134 / 136
History coverage45d
Avg bet$17
Trades / day6.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit79%
Chart Positions 2 History 134 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$154
7 days+$168
14 days−$27
30 days−$88
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 47¢ 46¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Exact Score: United States 1 - 0 Paraguay? Yes 15¢ 14¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-3%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Hamburg European Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Aleksandar Kovacevic Felix Auger-Aliassime 96¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Exact Score: NEOM SC 0 - 1 Al Ettifaq Saudi Club? Yes 22¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 215.5 Over 50¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Hamburg European Open: Hugo Gaston vs Karen Khachanov Hugo Gaston 28¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Exact Score: Korea Republic 3 - 0 Czechia? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Exact Score: AFC Bournemouth 1 - 0 Manchester City FC? Yes 32¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Exact Score: England 1 - 0 Costa Rica? Yes 17¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Exact Score: AFC Bournemouth 0 - 2 Manchester City FC? Yes 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $114 +$77 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $26 −$25 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $18 −$17 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $60 +$2 +3%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $20 +$14 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $72 +$54 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$9 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -97%
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +116%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$8 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$16 +79%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $20 +$32 +158%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 3 - 0 Czechia? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -97%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 2 - 0 Czechia? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -97%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 0 Czechia? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 11 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 11 $10 +$10 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 11 $10 +$8 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 11 $10 +$9 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 11 $10 +$10 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 11 $21 +$19 +91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 11 $10 +$10 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 11 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 11 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -94%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $24 +$10 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$5 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$5 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$5 +91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$5 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$5 +91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$5 +91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$5 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$5 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 49% −$163
crypto 37% +$18
other 14% +$81
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $191 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $41 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Down 6¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 11¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $62 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-19.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 66 -7.7% -16.5% 50% 48% +10.5%
≤30d 131 -11.7% -20.1% 45% 42% -13.3%
≤90d 134 -10.9% -19.4% 46% 43% -12.1%
all 134 -10.9% -19.4% 46% 43% -12.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover6.0 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -19.4% 43% -12.1%
10% -27.1% 40% -20.5%
15% -34.1% 38% -28.2%
20% -40.6% 33% -35.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $19.56 · official $19.56 (match) · 295 history records