Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T15:21:06+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

03
0x033c…eb79
crypto · 224 markets active 0h ago
0.5score
+$25 +11%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$22 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$22
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)29%
Wins / losses65 / 159
Open positions0
Markets (closed)224 / 224
History coverage21d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day14.0
Drawdown62%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 224 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$0
7 days−$4
14 days−$26
30 days+$22
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Up 83¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$2 +228%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$2 +181%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$2 +159%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 07 $0 $0 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 06 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 02 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 02 $0 $0 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 02 $0 $0 -94%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$22
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 23¢ $1 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Down 18¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 27¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $1 9h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +28%
net ROI/market (all)-2.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 46 -11.3% -19.8% 57% 50% -17.0%
≤30d 224 +8.1% -2.2% 29% 28% -1.1%
≤90d 224 +8.1% -2.2% 29% 28% -1.1%
all 224 +8.1% -2.2% 29% 28% -1.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover14.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -2.2% 28% -1.1%
10% -11.5% 26% -10.6%
15% -20.1% 24% -19.2%
20% -27.9% 21% -27.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 359 history records