trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +8.2% | -2.1% | 100% | 0% | -2.1% |
| ≤30d | 5 | +15.1% | +4.1% | 60% | 20% | +9.4% |
| ≤90d | 8 | +7.0% | -3.2% | 38% | 12% | +9.1% |
| all | 8 | +7.0% | -3.2% | 38% | 12% | +9.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -3.2% | 12% | +9.1% |
| 10% ← realistic here | -12.5% | 12% | -1.4% |
| 15% | -20.9% | 12% | -10.9% |
| 20% | -28.7% | 12% | -19.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Qatar advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 77¢ | 76¢ | $15,942 | $15,828 | −$114 (-1%) |
| Will France reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 80¢ | 82¢ | $14,556 | $14,919 | +$363 (+2%) |
| Will Germany reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 71¢ | 73¢ | $572 | $588 | +$16 (+3%) |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 89¢ | 90¢ | $449 | $453 | +$4 (+1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 15 | $42,244 | +$3,476 | +8% |
| Will Cristiano Ronaldo score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 03 | $1,826 | −$45 | -2% |
| Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Jun 01 | $11,746 | +$8,254 | +70% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 27? | May 26 | $6 | −$1 | -10% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May? | May 26 | $2 | $0 | +9% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | May 02 | $627 | −$45 | -7% |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | May 02 | $70 | −$3 | -5% |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | May 02 | $68 | −$5 | -7% |