Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T09:18:36+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

03
0x0346…52a5
sports · 121 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$527,651 +92%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$531,793 · open −$4,142
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$479,036
Realized+$531,793
Unrealized−$4,142
Win rate (resolved)11%
Wins / losses36 / 278
Whale WR (big bets)56%
Est. fees paid−$2,060
Open positions150
Markets (closed)314 / 121
Avg bet$4,733
Trades / day3483.0
Drawdown5%
Kalshi-fit76%
Chart Positions 150 History 314 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$531,793
7 days+$531,793
14 days+$531,793
30 days+$531,793
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 49¢ 48¢ $158,985 $153,642 −$5,344 (-3%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 59¢ 60¢ $38,714 $39,356 +$641 (+2%)
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? No 75¢ 76¢ $27,202 $27,238 +$35 (+0%)
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? No 71¢ 70¢ $25,154 $24,838 −$316 (-1%)
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? No 79¢ 80¢ $22,514 $22,517 +$2 (+0%)
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? No 76¢ 76¢ $20,425 $20,386 −$39 (-0%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? No 83¢ 84¢ $18,626 $18,750 +$125 (+1%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? No 47¢ 46¢ $10,892 $10,870 −$22 (-0%)
Will Cambodia win on 2026-06-09? Yes 89¢ 100¢ $9,227 $10,405 +$1,178 (+13%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 53¢ 54¢ $8,995 $9,109 +$114 (+1%)
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? Yes 91¢ 92¢ $6,331 $6,375 +$44 (+1%)
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 Over 68¢ 68¢ $6,328 $6,338 +$10 (+0%)
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? No 98¢ 98¢ $6,219 $6,207 −$12 (-0%)
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 1.5 Over 88¢ 88¢ $5,882 $5,850 −$33 (-1%)
Spread: Spain (-1.5) Spain 73¢ 74¢ $4,779 $4,852 +$73 (+2%)
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 Under 91¢ 92¢ $4,788 $4,821 +$34 (+1%)
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? No 73¢ 74¢ $4,613 $4,645 +$32 (+1%)
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 Over 40¢ 40¢ $4,581 $4,523 −$57 (-1%)
Will Cambodia vs. Hong Kong SAR end in a draw? No 62¢ 100¢ $2,452 $3,986 +$1,535 (+63%)
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 Under 79¢ 80¢ $3,761 $3,846 +$85 (+2%)
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 5.5 Under 96¢ 97¢ $3,628 $3,649 +$21 (+1%)
Spread: Qatar (-2.5) Switzerland 99¢ 100¢ $3,299 $3,319 +$20 (+1%)
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 62¢ 62¢ $3,186 $3,160 −$26 (-1%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 Under 42¢ 42¢ $3,194 $3,156 −$38 (-1%)
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) Qatar 42¢ 40¢ $3,288 $3,151 −$137 (-4%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Cambodia win on 2026-06-09? Jun 12 $9,227 +$1,178 +13%
Will Cambodia vs. Hong Kong SAR end in a draw? Jun 12 $51 −$51 -100%
Cambodia vs. Hong Kong SAR: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $189 −$189 -100%
Cambodia vs. Hong Kong SAR: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $1,030 +$575 +56%
Spread: Cambodia (-1.5) Jun 12 $427 −$427 -100%
Cambodia vs. Hong Kong SAR: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $585 +$295 +50%
Netherlands vs. Algeria: O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $571 +$199 +35%
Cambodia vs. Hong Kong SAR: O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $598 +$51 +9%
Cambodia vs. Hong Kong SAR: O/U 4.5 Jun 12 $391 +$45 +11%
Spread: Cambodia (-2.5) Jun 12 $175 −$175 -100%
Spread: Hong Kong SAR (-1.5) Jun 12 $118 +$29 +25%
Spread: Hong Kong SAR (-2.5) Jun 12 $55 +$5 +9%
Spread: FC Ryūkyū (-1.5) Jun 12 $1 $0 +2%
Spread: SC Braga (-1.5) Jun 12 $102 −$203 -200%
Spread: Le Havre AC (-2.5) Jun 12 $1 $0 +2%
Spread: CA Huracán (-2.5) Jun 12 $1 $0 +2%
SC Sagamihara vs. Fujieda MYFC: O/U 5.5 Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Eyüpspor vs. Çaykur Rizespor: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $0 +$1 +177%
Ehime FC leading at halftime? Jun 12 $1 $0 +5%
Spread: Fujieda MYFC (-2.5) Jun 12 $1 $0 +5%
Spread: Kyōto Sanga FC (-1.5) Jun 12 $1 $0 +3%
Spread: Henan FC (-2.5) Jun 12 $0 $0 +5%
Spread: Tochigi SC (-1.5) Jun 12 $0 $0 +15%
Spread: Elche CF (-2.5) Jun 12 $0 $0 +2%
Fredrikstad FK leading at halftime? Jun 12 $0 $0 +4%
Spread: FC Imabari (-2.5) Jun 12 $0 $0 +5%
Spread: SC Internacional (-1.5) Jun 12 $0 $0 +6%
Al Najmah Saudi Club leading at halftime? Jun 12 $0 $0 +1011%
Spread: Sanfrecce Hiroshima (-2.5) Jun 12 $59 −$59 -100%
Argentina vs. Iceland: O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Will DR Congo vs. Chile end in a draw? Jun 12 $234 −$234 -100%
Will Philippines win on 2026-06-03? Jun 12 $34 −$34 -100%
Myanmar vs. Guam: O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Al Kholood Saudi Club leading at halftime? Jun 12 $29 −$29 -100%
Spread: Stade Brestois 29 (-1.5) Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2026-05-17? Jun 12 $1,347 −$1,347 -100%
Spread: Cerezo Ōsaka (-2.5) Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bulgaria leading at halftime? Jun 12 $48 −$48 -100%
Kōchi United SC vs. Ehime FC: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
FC Mito Holly Hock vs. V-Varen Nagasaki: O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Gil Vicente FC vs. FC Arouca: O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $21 −$42 -200%
Spread: Gimcheon Sangmu FC (-2.5) Jun 12 $0 −$1 -200%
Spread: Fatih Karagümrük SK (-1.5) Jun 12 $12 −$23 -200%
Spread: Roasso Kumamoto (-1.5) Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Kagoshima United FC vs. Roasso Kumamoto: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Gainare Tottori leading at halftime? Jun 12 $27 −$27 -100%
Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-05-24? Jun 12 $486 −$486 -100%
Spread: Houston Dynamo (-2.5) Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Norway vs. Sweden: O/U 5.5 Jun 12 $59 −$59 -100%
Spread: Fluminense FC (-2.5) Jun 12 $26 −$53 -200%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 66% +$381,925
sports 33% +$170,731
crypto 0% +$24
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 19¢ $7 0m
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 75¢ $30 0m
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 19¢ $0 0m
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 75¢ $3 1m
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 19¢ $0 1m
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 19¢ $12 1m
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 75¢ $15 1m
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 75¢ $45 2m
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 75¢ $9 2m
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 19¢ $0 2m
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 75¢ $2,184 2m
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 75¢ $18 2m
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 75¢ $213 2m
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 19¢ $1 2m
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 19¢ $23 2m
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? BUY No 73¢ $14 3m
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 19¢ $0 3m
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 75¢ $32 3m
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 0.5 BUY Under 10¢ $0 3m
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 19¢ $24 4m
Brazil vs. Morocco: Draw at halftime? BUY No 57¢ $132 4m
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 31¢ $8 4m
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 75¢ $9 5m
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 41¢ $762 5m
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 19¢ $1 5m
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 31¢ $2 5m
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 19¢ $0 5m
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 31¢ $1 6m
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 BUY Under 31¢ $15 6m
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 75¢ $6 6m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +7%
net ROI/market (all)-57.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 314 -53.3% -57.8% 11% 7% +114.3%
≤30d 314 -53.3% -57.8% 11% 7% +114.3%
≤90d 314 -53.3% -57.8% 11% 7% +114.3%
all 314 -53.3% -57.8% 11% 7% +114.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3483.0 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -57.8% 7% +114.3%
10% -61.8% 6% +93.8%
15% ← realistic here -65.5% 5% +75.1%
20% -68.9% 5% +57.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $479,035.54 · official $479,025.03 (match) · 3500 history records