trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | +13.2% | +2.4% | 50% | 50% | -12.6% |
| ≤30d | 4 | -14.6% | -22.8% | 50% | 50% | -29.1% |
| ≤90d | 9 | -20.1% | -27.7% | 44% | 44% | -37.2% |
| all | 24 | -7.4% | -16.2% | 58% | 50% | -13.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -16.2% | 50% | -13.2% |
| 10% | -24.2% | 46% | -21.5% |
| 15% | -31.5% | 29% | -29.1% |
| 20% | -38.2% | 17% | -36.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? | No | 52¢ | 50¢ | $8 | $8 | −$0 (-3%) |
| UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card) | Ilia Topuria | 80¢ | 74¢ | $4 | $4 | −$0 (-8%) |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 16¢ | 16¢ | $1 | $1 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? | No | 52¢ | 51¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 1¢ | 1¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-6%) |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June? | Yes | 28¢ | 1¢ | $2 | $0 | −$2 (-97%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card) | Jun 15 | $3 | −$3 | -98% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | Jun 15 | $2 | +$3 | +126% |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | May 29 | $2 | $0 | +15% |
| Will Finland win Eurovision 2026? | May 29 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Timberwolves vs. Nuggets | May 16 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Trail Blazers vs. Spurs | May 16 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Rockets vs. Lakers | May 16 | $1 | +$2 | +152% |
| Raptors vs. Cavaliers | Apr 21 | $2 | +$1 | +26% |
| Will GTA 6 cost $100+? | Apr 01 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Nuggets vs. Clippers | Feb 26 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will MrBeast say "Car" or "Supercar" during his next YouTube video? | Feb 26 | $3 | +$4 | +170% |
| Seahawks vs. Patriots | Feb 09 | $4 | $0 | +10% |
| Will the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026? | Feb 08 | $1 | +$1 | +43% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31? | Feb 02 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $430 end of January? | Jan 31 | $2 | +$2 | +108% |
| Will Powell say "Job" 15+ times during January press conference? | Jan 31 | $1 | +$1 | +45% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 19? | Jan 26 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-17? | Jan 26 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Netflix (NFLX) beat quarterly earnings? | Jan 26 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Trump say "N Word" in January? | Jan 23 | $1 | $0 | +30% |
| Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026 | Jan 20 | $2 | $0 | +23% |
| Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? | Jan 19 | $5 | +$1 | +28% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March | Jan 19 | $1 | $0 | +8% |
| Bucks vs. Spurs | Jan 16 | $1 | +$1 | +39% |