Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T21:07:27+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

03
0x0374…bd6e
crypto · 1706 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$2,037 -25%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,037 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$2,037
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)73%
Wins / losses1568 / 577
Open positions0
Markets (closed)2145 / 1706
History coverage3d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day555.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 2145 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2,072
7 days−$2,037
14 days−$2,037
30 days−$2,037
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Down 85¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Down 93¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Down 76¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Down 93¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 97¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Down 89¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Down 92¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Down 87¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Up 96¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Up 89¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Down 90¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Down 92¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Up 87¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Down 80¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Down 82¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Down 94¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Down 90¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Up 92¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Up 86¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Down 97¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Up 95¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Down 92¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Up 91¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 13 $29 −$29 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$17
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $4 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $4 4m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $4 8m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $4 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $4 38m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $4 38m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $4 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $4 48m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $4 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $4 53m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $4 53m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $10 57m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $4 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +9%
net ROI/market (all)-25.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 2145 -17.8% -25.6% 73% 9% -27.9%
≤30d 2145 -17.8% -25.6% 73% 9% -27.9%
≤90d 2145 -17.8% -25.6% 73% 9% -27.9%
all 2145 -17.8% -25.6% 73% 9% -27.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover555.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -25.6% 9% -27.9%
10% ← realistic here -32.7% 1% -34.8%
15% -39.2% 0% -41.1%
20% -45.2% 0% -46.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records