Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T18:42:41+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

03
0x037b…2f85
crypto · 312 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$142 -19%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$142 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$142
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)25%
Wins / losses78 / 228
Open positions0
Markets (closed)306 / 312
History coverage22d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day14.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 306 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$228
7 days−$130
14 days−$142
30 days−$142
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$4 +218%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$4 +228%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$4 +228%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$4 +218%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$142
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $2 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $2 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $2 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $2 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $2 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $2 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $2 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $2 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 15¢ $2 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $2 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $2 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $2 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $2 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 17¢ $2 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $2 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $2 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $2 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $2 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $2 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $2 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $2 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 24¢ $2 16h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +25%
net ROI/market (all)-23.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 301 -15.4% -23.5% 26% 25% -26.0%
≤30d 306 -15.7% -23.7% 25% 25% -26.9%
≤90d 306 -15.7% -23.7% 25% 25% -26.9%
all 306 -15.7% -23.7% 25% 25% -26.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover14.6 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -23.7% 25% -26.9%
10% -31.0% 25% -33.9%
15% -37.7% 25% -40.3%
20% -43.8% 25% -46.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 569 history records