Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:25:10+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

03
0x037c…a458
crypto · 109 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$232 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$232 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$232
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)69%
Wins / losses75 / 34
Whale WR (big bets)71%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)109 / 109
History coverage1d
Avg bet$371
Trades / day3389.0
Drawdown23%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 109 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$232
7 days+$232
14 days+$232
30 days+$232
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $502 −$2 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $594 +$6 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $595 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $601 −$1 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $371 −$3 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $99 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $595 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $297 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $198 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $297 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $594 +$6 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $503 −$3 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $319 −$19 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $200 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $305 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $402 −$2 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $355 −$7 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $451 +$4 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $495 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $508 −$8 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $596 +$4 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $99 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $198 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $601 −$1 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $303 −$3 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $328 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $495 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $594 +$6 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $219 −$19 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $99 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $349 −$12 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $495 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 12 $596 +$4 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $424 −$10 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 12 $499 +$1 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 12 $458 +$7 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $698 +$2 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $297 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 12 $594 +$6 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 12 $396 +$4 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $693 +$7 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 12 $498 +$2 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $601 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 12 $498 +$2 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 12 $594 +$6 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $436 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 12 $498 +$2 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 12 $396 +$4 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$232
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $79 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $94 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $86 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $28 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $97 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $97 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $1 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $1 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $0 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $96 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $0 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $1 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 3¢ $3 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $96 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $9 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $2 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $23 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $48 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $6 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $18 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $23 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $23 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $0 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $19 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $13 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $0 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $32 17m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +2%
net ROI/market (all)-9.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 109 -0.1% -9.6% 69% 2% -9.0%
≤30d 109 -0.1% -9.6% 69% 2% -9.0%
≤90d 109 -0.1% -9.6% 69% 2% -9.0%
all 109 -0.1% -9.6% 69% 2% -9.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3389.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.6% 2% -9.0%
10% ← realistic here -18.3% 2% -17.7%
15% -26.2% 1% -25.7%
20% -33.4% 1% -33.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records