Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T11:35:21+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

03
0x0388…7c4a
crypto · 494 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$673 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$673 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$0
Realized−$673
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses278 / 216
Open positions0
Markets (closed)494 / 494
Avg bet$25
Trades / day190.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 494 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$300
7 days−$528
14 days−$673
30 days−$673
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Down 67¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $77 −$20 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $26 −$23 -90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $51 −$26 -51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $77 +$21 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $41 +$25 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $36 +$9 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $316 −$188 -59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $63 −$32 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $51 −$13 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $41 −$40 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $67 +$10 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $26 +$7 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $41 +$35 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $41 +$9 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $52 +$50 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $50 +$3 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 11 $26 −$20 -80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 11 $26 −$22 -85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 11 $36 +$10 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 11 $72 −$35 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 11 $26 +$11 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 11 $36 −$21 -58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 11 $36 +$29 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 11 $10 +$17 +160%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 11 $86 −$68 -79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 11 $72 +$18 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 11 $26 −$13 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 11 $97 −$34 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 11 $86 +$25 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 11 $26 −$25 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 11 $25 −$25 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 11 $25 +$3 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 11 $31 +$10 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 11 $21 −$6 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 11 $82 +$4 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 11 $31 +$9 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 11 $50 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 11 $10 +$10 +98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 11 $51 +$11 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 11 $21 −$6 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 11 $20 +$7 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 11 $20 +$6 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 11 $20 +$3 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 10 $113 −$6 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 10 $153 +$49 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 10 $56 −$55 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 10 $31 −$12 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 10 $113 −$44 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 10 $91 +$15 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 10 $113 −$34 -30%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$673
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET SELL Up 26¢ $8 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $25 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET SELL Up 57¢ $17 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $25 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET SELL Up 71¢ $31 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $26 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET SELL Down 7¢ $3 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $26 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $26 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET SELL Up 57¢ $25 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $26 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $43 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $26 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET SELL Down 64¢ $27 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $26 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET SELL Down 53¢ $29 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $26 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $66 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $5 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $36 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET SELL Down 96¢ $45 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $36 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET SELL Up 4¢ $2 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET SELL Up 5¢ $1 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET SELL Up 5¢ $2 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET SELL Up 5¢ $2 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET SELL Up 5¢ $2 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET SELL Up 5¢ $2 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Up 14¢ $53 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Up 14¢ $53 55m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)-12.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 248 -2.9% -12.1% 55% 46% -15.9%
≤30d 494 -3.7% -12.9% 56% 47% -14.6%
≤90d 494 -3.7% -12.9% 56% 47% -14.6%
all 494 -3.7% -12.9% 56% 47% -14.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover190.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.9% 47% -14.6%
10% ← realistic here -21.2% 35% -22.8%
15% -28.8% 24% -30.2%
20% -35.8% 17% -37.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1962 history records