trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | -100.0% | -100.0% | 0% | 0% | -100.0% |
| ≤30d | 2 | -100.0% | -100.0% | 0% | 0% | -100.0% |
| ≤90d | 19 | +31.5% | +19.0% | 26% | 26% | -4.1% |
| all | 19 | +31.5% | +19.0% | 26% | 26% | -4.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +19.0% | 26% | -4.1% |
| 10% | +7.6% | 26% | -13.3% |
| 15% | -2.8% | 26% | -21.6% |
| 20% | -12.3% | 26% | -29.3% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22? | No | 55¢ | 62¢ | $1 | $1 | +$0 (+14%) |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Yes | 21¢ | 0¢ | $41 | $1 | −$40 (-98%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Will Club Universitario de Deportes win on 2026-05-23? | May 23 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Spurs vs. Timberwolves | May 16 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Cavaliers vs. Pistons | May 14 | $1 | +$1 | +61% |
| Thunder vs. Lakers | May 12 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Thunder vs. Lakers | May 10 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Spurs vs. Timberwolves | May 09 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Knicks vs. 76ers | May 09 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Will Club Universitario de Deportes win on 2026-05-07? | May 08 | $1 | +$1 | +129% |
| Lakers vs. Thunder | May 07 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Lakers vs. Thunder | May 05 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Will Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw? | May 05 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Timberwolves vs. Spurs | May 05 | $2 | +$7 | +325% |
| 76ers vs. Knicks | May 05 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Raptors vs. Cavaliers | May 04 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Lakers vs. Rockets | May 02 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Rockets vs. Lakers | May 02 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Cavaliers vs. Raptors | May 02 | $1 | +$5 | +504% |
| Pistons vs. Magic | May 02 | $1 | +$10 | +980% |