trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 8 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 25% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤30d | 15 | -2.8% | -12.0% | 27% | 0% | -13.0% |
| ≤90d | 15 | -2.8% | -12.0% | 27% | 0% | -13.0% |
| all | 26 | -4.4% | -13.5% | 42% | 4% | -11.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -13.5% | 4% | -11.8% |
| 10% | -21.8% | 4% | -20.2% |
| 15% | -29.3% | 0% | -27.9% |
| 20% | -36.3% | 0% | -35.0% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 21 | $51 | $0 | +0% |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | Jun 20 | $34 | $0 | +0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15? | Jun 19 | $20 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026? | Jun 19 | $38 | $0 | -0% |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026? | Jun 19 | $10 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 18 | $37 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 18 | $68 | $0 | -1% |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 17 | $38 | $0 | +0% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | Jun 03 | $12 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Alberta join the US? | Jun 02 | $37 | $0 | +0% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | Jun 01 | $38 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | May 29 | $42 | −$17 | -41% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | May 29 | $15 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | May 28 | $18 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? | May 28 | $5 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Borussia Dortmund win the FIFA Club World Cup? | Dec 09 | $2 | $0 | +3% |
| Will Han Dong-hoon be elected the next president of South Korea? | Jun 04 | $1 | $0 | +4% |
| Will the National Party of Suriname win the most seats in the 2025 Sur | Jun 04 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Robert Francis Prevost be the next pope? | May 10 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will Mark Few make the 2025 Class of the Naismith Basketball Hall of F | Apr 07 | $17 | +$5 | +30% |
| Will Borussia Dortmund win the UEFA Champions League? | Mar 30 | $1 | $0 | -10% |
| Israel military action against Iran in March? | Mar 29 | $18 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Kevin O'Leary buy TikTok? | Mar 28 | $18 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 66°F or higher on March 26? | Mar 28 | $19 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the Houston Rockets win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Mar 25 | $19 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Elon tweet 575-599 times March 21-28? | Mar 24 | $19 | −$1 | -3% |