Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T00:24:01+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

03
0x038f…c7a0
crypto · 2135 markets active 0h ago
2.0score
+$5,430 +32%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$5,430 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$21
Realized+$5,430
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)68%
Wins / losses1061 / 496
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1557 / 2135
History coverage8d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day312.6
Drawdown21%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 1557 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$181
7 days+$4,862
14 days+$5,430
30 days+$5,430
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Down 51¢ 50¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-3%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Down 49¢ 100¢ $2 $5 +$3 (+104%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Down 50¢ 100¢ $2 $5 +$2 (+100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Down 51¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+96%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 95¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 8, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Up 86¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 8, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 17, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 16, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 16, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 16, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 8, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 10, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 11, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 7, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 6, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 8, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 5, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 10, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 8, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$6,848
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $0 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $7 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $4 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $5 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +68%
net ROI/market (all)+19.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1420 +29.6% +17.3% 67% 67% +32.4%
≤30d 1557 +32.5% +19.9% 68% 68% +34.1%
≤90d 1557 +32.5% +19.9% 68% 68% +34.1%
all 1557 +32.5% +19.9% 68% 68% +34.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover312.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +19.9% 68% +34.1%
10% ← realistic here +8.4% 68% +21.3%
15% -2.0% 68% +9.6%
20% -11.6% 68% -1.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $20.71 · official $19.90 (match) · 3500 history records