trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 5 | -0.5% | -10.0% | 40% | 0% | -9.8% |
| ≤90d | 5 | -0.5% | -10.0% | 40% | 0% | -9.8% |
| all | 23 | -0.0% | -9.6% | 52% | 4% | -9.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.6% | 4% | -9.2% |
| 10% | -18.2% | 4% | -17.8% |
| 15% | -26.1% | 0% | -25.8% |
| 20% | -33.4% | 0% | -33.1% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? | No | 96¢ | 96¢ | $32 | $32 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Jun 06 | $43 | −$1 | -2% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 06 | $33 | $0 | +0% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | Jun 05 | $14 | $0 | -3% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | Jun 02 | $69 | $0 | -0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | Jun 01 | $33 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026? | Jan 12 | $3 | $0 | -3% |
| Will the Cincinnati Bengals win Super Bowl 2026? | Dec 17 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl 2026? | Jun 25 | $24 | $0 | -0% |
| Will 'Michael' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025? | May 22 | $25 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Pirates win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary electi | May 21 | $25 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026? | May 20 | $25 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $80k in May? | May 20 | $24 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the Washington Capitals win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | May 17 | $22 | +$2 | +8% |
| Will Mario Grech be the next pope? | May 09 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Trump pardon Steve Bannon in his first 100 days? | May 06 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Trump create 'gold card' citizenship before April? | Apr 05 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the New Jersey Devils win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | Apr 01 | $1 | $0 | +26% |
| Will Belgium win Eurovision 2025? | Mar 31 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be between 66-67°F on March 31? | Mar 31 | $23 | $0 | -0% |
| Will XRP dip to $1.70 in March? | Mar 30 | $24 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Elena Lasconi win the Romanian presidential election? | Mar 30 | $0 | $0 | -35% |
| Will Trump say "bigly" by March 28? | Mar 30 | $23 | $0 | +0% |
| Sisi out as President of Egypt by March 31? | Mar 28 | $25 | $0 | +0% |