Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T07:52:12+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
03 0x03b2…e2e8 crypto 1821 markets active 0h ago coverage 42d ⚠
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 41d only
✗ negative after realistic slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$22 (+1%) realized +$22 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -25% what you keep after slip
Net edge-25%after slip
Net WR58%break-even
Win rate85%1584W / 282L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$2per market
Trades / day45.5pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$92
7 days−$82
14 days−$86
30 days−$92
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$20
world 0% $0
finance 0% $0
other 0% $0
sports 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +58%
net ROI/market (all)-11.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 286 -13.1% -21.4% 75% 50% -24.6%
≤30d 1248 -4.0% -13.2% 84% 52% -13.0%
≤90d 1866 -2.2% -11.6% 85% 58% -11.4%
all 1866 -2.2% -11.6% 85% 58% -11.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover45.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.6% 58% -11.4%
10% ← realistic here -20.0% 5% -19.9%
15% -27.7% 0% -27.6%
20% -34.8% 0% -34.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 0% · top 2 1% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
28% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -2% · $-wt -2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +1% → late -5% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$2 · ×0.15 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.85 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

42d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$22
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)85%
Wins / losses1584 / 282
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1866 / 1821
History coverage42d ⚠
Avg bet$2
Trades / day45.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1866 Trades
no open positions (274 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 18 $0 −$4 -4600%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 18 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 18 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 18 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 18 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 18 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 18 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 18 $0 −$2 -1959%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 18 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 18 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 18 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 18 $2 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 18 $1 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$1 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 18 $2 $0 +12%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $2 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $1 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET SELL Down 62¢ $1 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $2 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET SELL Up 60¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET SELL Up 74¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $2 7h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records