trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 15 | +42.5% | +29.0% | 73% | 67% | +31.4% |
| ≤30d | 20 | +17.9% | +6.7% | 60% | 55% | -56.6% |
| ≤90d | 22 | +7.2% | -3.0% | 55% | 50% | -63.4% |
| all | 23 | +2.6% | -7.2% | 52% | 48% | -64.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -7.2% | 48% | -64.3% |
| 10% | -16.1% | 48% | -67.7% |
| 15% | -24.2% | 39% | -70.8% |
| 20% | -31.6% | 17% | -73.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 11¢ | 11¢ | $400 | $425 | +$25 (+6%) |
| Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 2¢ | $300 | $321 | +$21 (+7%) |
| Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw? | Yes | 34¢ | 12¢ | $500 | $182 | −$318 (-64%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $103 | +$144 | +140% |
| 76ers vs. Heat | Jun 17 | $333 | +$302 | +91% |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 17 | $2,333 | +$825 | +35% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $1,106 | +$269 | +24% |
| Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $205 | −$52 | -25% |
| Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $205 | +$9 | +4% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $510 | +$227 | +44% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $10 | −$10 | -97% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $10 | −$10 | -97% |
| Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $102 | +$328 | +320% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 14 | $204 | +$390 | +191% |
| Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? | Jun 12 | $306 | +$23 | +8% |
| Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 0 South Africa? | Jun 11 | $303 | +$132 | +43% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 11 | $1,054 | +$404 | +38% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 09 | $316 | −$260 | -82% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 06 | $505 | +$222 | +44% |
| Cavaliers vs. Knicks | May 22 | $10,005 | −$9,800 | -98% |
| Cavaliers vs. Knicks | May 20 | $3,233 | −$774 | -24% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | May 19 | $6,227 | −$6,161 | -99% |
| Rockets vs. Lakers | Apr 30 | $508 | −$500 | -98% |
| Magic vs. Pistons | Apr 23 | $4,500 | −$4,467 | -99% |
| Timberwolves vs. Jazz | Jan 21 | $1,100 | −$800 | -73% |