Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T07:59:22+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

03
0x03bc…ad27
sports · 411 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$3,762 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$3,989 · open −$186
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$3,348
Realized−$3,989
Unrealized−$186
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses194 / 200
Whale WR (big bets)76%
Est. fees paid−$1,216
Open positions17
Markets (closed)394 / 411
History coverage226d
Avg bet$396
Trades / day8.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit93%
Chart Positions 17 History 394 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$2,218
7 days+$3,456
14 days+$3,655
30 days+$4,815
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner Gen.G 86¢ 74¢ $787 $679 −$108 (-14%)
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Bilibili Gaming 81¢ 80¢ $333 $331 −$2 (-1%)
Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs Team WE (+2.5) Bilibili Gaming 51¢ 50¢ $334 $331 −$3 (-1%)
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 63¢ 62¢ $333 $330 −$3 (-1%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 59¢ 57¢ $333 $325 −$8 (-3%)
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs KT Rolster (+2.5) Gen.G 51¢ 56¢ $250 $277 +$27 (+11%)
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) Switzerland 58¢ 60¢ $255 $262 +$7 (+3%)
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 10¢ 11¢ $170 $176 +$6 (+3%)
Knicks vs. Spurs Knicks 36¢ 36¢ $177 $175 −$2 (-1%)
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes 32¢ 19¢ $201 $119 −$81 (-41%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Qatar O/U 0.5 Under 60¢ 57¢ $110 $105 −$5 (-4%)
Spread: Scotland (-1.5) Scotland 36¢ 36¢ $100 $101 +$1 (+1%)
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 2 Scotland? Yes 14¢ 14¢ $35 $34 −$1 (-4%)
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 0 Morocco? Yes 14¢ 14¢ $33 $33 +$0 (+0%)
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Morocco? Yes 14¢ 12¢ $33 $28 −$5 (-14%)
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 2 Switzerland? Yes 19¢ 16¢ $25 $22 −$3 (-13%)
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 3 Switzerland? Yes 15¢ 12¢ $25 $21 −$4 (-17%)
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Gen.G 73¢ 0¢ $444 $0 −$444 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 4 Winner Dplus KIA 42¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
LoL: BNK FEARX vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winner BNK FEARX 77¢ 0¢ $298 $0 −$298 (-100%)
LoL: T1 vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner Hanwha Life Esports 69¢ 0¢ $277 $0 −$277 (-100%)
LoL: BNK FEARX vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner BNK FEARX 72¢ 0¢ $297 $0 −$297 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 17, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $646 +$747 +116%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $229 +$240 +105%
Spread: United States (-1.5) Jun 13 $79 +$271 +344%
Exact Score: United States 3 - 1 Paraguay? Jun 12 $26 −$25 -97%
Exact Score: United States 3 - 0 Paraguay? Jun 12 $26 −$25 -97%
United States vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $56 −$55 -98%
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $56 −$55 -98%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Bosnia-Herzegovina O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $56 −$55 -98%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $127 −$125 -99%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $450 +$373 +83%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $804 +$599 +74%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $336 +$114 +34%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $270 +$211 +78%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $338 −$333 -98%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $243 −$240 -99%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $230 +$523 +228%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $252 +$110 +44%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Czechia O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $102 −$100 -98%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 2 - 0 Czechia? Jun 12 $21 −$20 -97%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 3 - 0 Czechia? Jun 12 $21 −$20 -97%
Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score Jun 11 $253 +$144 +57%
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 1 South Africa? Jun 11 $31 −$30 -97%
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 0 South Africa? Jun 11 $31 −$30 -98%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $457 +$354 +78%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $385 +$177 +46%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 08 $449 +$215 +48%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 08 $444 +$194 +44%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 08 $448 −$110 -24%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $347 +$151 +44%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 07 $659 −$325 -49%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 4 Winner Jun 07 $209 +$197 +95%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $248 +$222 +90%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $270 −$266 -99%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 07 $204 −$97 -47%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $338 +$203 +60%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 06 $448 +$214 +48%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 06 $336 +$111 +33%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 3 Winner Jun 06 $339 +$148 +44%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $333 +$159 +48%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $338 +$134 +40%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $449 −$444 -99%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 06 $232 −$230 -99%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 04 $652 −$650 -100%
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 03 $775 +$200 +26%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 3 Winner Jun 01 $338 +$386 +114%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner Jun 01 $560 −$555 -99%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner Jun 01 $559 −$555 -99%
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner May 31 $554 +$199 +36%
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner May 31 $449 +$291 +65%
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs HANJIN BRION (+1.5) May 31 $730 +$354 +48%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 92% −$6,293
crypto 4% −$328
other 3% +$2,085
world 1% +$422
weather 0% −$60
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner BUY Gen.G 97¢ $343 9m
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner BUY Gen.G 75¢ $224 20m
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner BUY Gen.G 84¢ $112 23m
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner BUY Gen.G 86¢ $111 26m
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner SELL Gen.G 89¢ $1,392 1h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner BUY Gen.G 19¢ $45 1h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner BUY Gen.G 8¢ $41 1h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner BUY Gen.G 30¢ $56 1h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner BUY Gen.G 62¢ $57 1h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner BUY Gen.G 79¢ $447 2h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 81¢ $335 3h
Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs Team WE (+2.5) BUY Bilibili Gaming 51¢ $339 3h
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 2 Scotland? BUY Yes 14¢ $36 3h
Spread: Scotland (-1.5) BUY Scotland 36¢ $102 4h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 63¢ $337 4h
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 0 Morocco? BUY Yes 14¢ $34 4h
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Morocco? BUY Yes 14¢ $34 4h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $337 4h
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 2 Switzerland? BUY Yes 19¢ $26 4h
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 3 Switzerland? BUY Yes 15¢ $26 4h
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) BUY Switzerland 58¢ $56 4h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Qatar O/U 0.5 BUY Under 60¢ $33 4h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Qatar O/U 0.5 BUY Under 60¢ $78 4h
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) BUY Switzerland 58¢ $203 4h
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs KT Rolster (+2.5) BUY Gen.G 51¢ $254 4h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 36¢ $180 15h
Exact Score: United States 3 - 1 Paraguay? BUY Yes 6¢ $26 16h
Exact Score: United States 3 - 0 Paraguay? BUY Yes 5¢ $26 16h
United States vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 0.5 BUY Under 41¢ $56 16h
Spread: United States (-1.5) BUY United States 22¢ $79 16h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)-13.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 41 +23.9% +12.1% 56% 56% +19.3%
≤30d 116 +8.5% -1.8% 63% 61% -1.3%
≤90d 212 -1.0% -10.5% 62% 58% -13.6%
all 394 -4.2% -13.3% 49% 46% -11.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover8.7 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -13.3% 46% -11.8%
10% -21.6% 37% -20.2%
15% -29.2% 27% -27.9%
20% -36.1% 18% -35.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $3,347.51 · official $3,347.56 (match) · 2242 history records