Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T18:05:39+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

03
0x03be…be93
crypto · 4 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$6 -21%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$6 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$6
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)25%
Wins / losses1 / 3
Open positions0
Markets (closed)4 / 4
History coverage1d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day10.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 4 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$6
7 days−$6
14 days−$6
30 days−$6
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $14 −$8 -57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$14 +419%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 8¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 19¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET SELL Down 42¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $17 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 17¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 8¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +25%
net ROI/market (all)+27.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 4 +40.5% +27.1% 25% 25% -28.7%
≤30d 4 +40.5% +27.1% 25% 25% -28.7%
≤90d 4 +40.5% +27.1% 25% 25% -28.7%
all 4 +40.5% +27.1% 25% 25% -28.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover10.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to15%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +27.1% 25% -28.7%
10% +14.9% 25% -35.5%
15% +3.8% 25% -41.7%
20% -6.4% 25% -47.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 13 history records