Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T23:16:26+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

03
0x03c2…2034
sports · 350 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$732 -20%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$724 · open −$8
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$373
Realized−$724
Unrealized−$8
Win rate (resolved)25%
Wins / losses70 / 214
Est. fees paid−$75
Open positions36
Markets (closed)284 / 350
History coverage29d
Avg bet$11
Trades / day27.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit91%
Chart Positions 36 History 284 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$66
7 days−$197
14 days−$264
30 days−$724
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates 70¢ 100¢ $20 $28 +$8 (+42%)
Iraq vs. Norway: Norway O/U 0.5 Over 91¢ 93¢ $20 $20 +$0 (+2%)
Spread: Morocco (-1.5) Brazil 96¢ 96¢ $20 $20 +$0 (+1%)
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-21? No 96¢ 96¢ $20 $20 +$0 (+0%)
Spread: Norway (-1.5) Iraq 40¢ 40¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-1%)
Spread: Knicks (-16.5) Spurs 92¢ 92¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-1%)
Iraq vs. Norway: Norway O/U 1.5 Over 74¢ 74¢ $20 $20 +$0 (+0%)
Spread: Germany (-3.5) Curaçao 52¢ 52¢ $17 $18 +$0 (+1%)
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox 58¢ 100¢ $9 $16 +$7 (+72%)
Spread: Knicks (-4.5) Spurs 74¢ 73¢ $15 $15 −$0 (-1%)
Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany O/U 1.5 Over 91¢ 91¢ $13 $13 +$0 (+0%)
Spread: Brazil (-2.5) Morocco 88¢ 96¢ $11 $12 +$1 (+9%)
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? No 84¢ 84¢ $11 $11 +$0 (+1%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? No 42¢ 56¢ $7 $10 +$2 (+32%)
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 2.5 Over 83¢ 82¢ $9 $9 −$0 (-1%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Under 56¢ 24¢ $20 $9 −$11 (-56%)
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? No 24¢ 24¢ $8 $8 +$0 (+2%)
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? No 82¢ 82¢ $7 $7 +$0 (+1%)
Olimpia Milano vs. Reyer Venezia Olimpia Milano 88¢ 100¢ $6 $7 +$1 (+14%)
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 4.5 Under 82¢ 81¢ $7 $7 −$0 (-1%)
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets Atlanta Braves 68¢ 100¢ $4 $6 +$2 (+47%)
Spread: Brazil (-1.5) Morocco 68¢ 82¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+21%)
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals Washington Nationals 78¢ 100¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+28%)
Spread: Spain (-2.5) Spain 52¢ 52¢ $6 $6 −$0 (-1%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Qatar 1st Half O/U 0.5 Under 82¢ 100¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+22%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets Jun 13 $4 +$2 +47%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $19 +$54 +284%
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $40 +$1 +3%
Spread: Switzerland (-3.5) Jun 13 $8 +$2 +22%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $20 +$11 +53%
Spread: Switzerland (-2.5) Jun 13 $78 −$59 -75%
Olimpia Milano vs. Reyer Venezia Jun 13 $6 +$1 +14%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Qatar 1st Half O/U 0.5 Jun 13 $5 +$1 +22%
Cattolica: Roberto Carballes Baena vs Francesco Forti Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Iva Jovic Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Qatar O/U 0.5 Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Ilkley: Mary Stoiana vs Celine Naef Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $4 −$4 -98%
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) Jun 13 $20 −$20 -99%
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Toby Samuel Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Ilkley: Oliver Tarvet vs Filippo Romano Jun 13 $8 −$8 -99%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $20 −$20 -100%
Portugal vs. DR Congo: 1st Half O/U 2.5 Jun 10 $16 $0 -1%
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) Jun 10 $48 −$21 -44%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 196.5 Jun 10 $8 −$8 -100%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 197.5 Jun 10 $3 −$3 -100%
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Charles Broom Jun 10 $20 −$11 -53%
Portugal vs. Nigeria: Both Teams to Score Jun 10 $3 $0 -4%
Libema Open: Ugo Humbert vs Benjamin Bonzi Jun 10 $10 −$1 -7%
Ilkley: Tereza Martincova vs Katie Swan Jun 10 $3 +$2 +78%
Cattolica: Alexander Vasilev vs Andrea Guerrieri Jun 10 $5 −$1 -11%
Spread: England (-2.5) Jun 10 $8 $0 -6%
Spread: Portugal (-1.5) Jun 10 $10 −$1 -7%
Will France vs. Iraq end in a draw? Jun 10 $5 $0 -2%
Spread: England (-1.5) Jun 10 $10 $0 +1%
Will Ghana win on 2026-06-23? Jun 10 $7 $0 -2%
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays Jun 10 $3 $0 -12%
Ilkley: Hamish Stewart vs Leandro Riedi Jun 10 $4 +$2 +43%
England vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5 Jun 10 $3 $0 -6%
Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5 Jun 10 $6 $0 -5%
Haiti vs. Scotland: Both Teams to Score Jun 10 $3 $0 -5%
Tucuman: Segundo Goity Zapico vs Federico Coria Jun 10 $20 +$16 +78%
Tucuman: Nick Hardt vs Bruno Fernandez Jun 10 $21 −$14 -66%
Ilkley: Mark Lajal vs Michael Zheng Jun 10 $9 $0 +2%
Ilkley: Taylah Preston vs Harmony Tan Jun 10 $20 +$3 +16%
Modena: Laura Samson vs Darja Semenistaja Jun 10 $12 +$1 +4%
Ilkley: Alex Bolt vs Keegan Smith Jun 10 $20 +$5 +25%
Libema Open: Panna Udvardy vs Daria Snigur Jun 10 $6 −$3 -49%
Libema Open: Martin Damm vs Alex de Minaur Jun 10 $5 $0 +9%
ITF Zagreb: Adrienn Nagy vs Eszter Meri Jun 10 $20 +$9 +45%
Ilkley: Tristan Schoolkate vs Paul Jubb Jun 10 $40 +$37 +92%
Lyon: Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo vs Luca Van Assche Jun 10 $20 +$12 +61%
Stuttgart Open: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Alexander Bublik Jun 10 $20 −$20 -100%
Modena: Dominika Salkova vs Martina Trevisan Jun 10 $62 −$18 -29%
Ilkley: Emerson Jones vs Dalma Galfi Jun 10 $3 +$2 +72%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 91% −$653
other 9% −$69
world 0% −$10
crypto 0% $0
politics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox BUY Boston Red Sox 58¢ $9 1h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 42¢ $7 1h
Spread: Haiti (-1.5) BUY Scotland 95¢ $5 1h
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets BUY Atlanta Braves 68¢ $1 1h
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets BUY Atlanta Braves 68¢ $3 1h
Spread: Morocco (-1.5) BUY Brazil 96¢ $20 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: 1st Half O/U 1.5 BUY Under 72¢ $4 1h
Spread: Dallas Wings (-5.5) BUY Dallas Wings 46¢ $5 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 56¢ $20 1h
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates BUY Pittsburgh Pirates 70¢ $0 1h
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates BUY Pittsburgh Pirates 70¢ $20 1h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 1.5 SELL Under 100¢ $73 2h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? SELL No 100¢ $21 2h
Spread: Switzerland (-3.5) SELL Qatar 100¢ $9 2h
Spread: Scotland (-1.5) BUY Haiti 62¢ $5 2h
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals BUY Washington Nationals 78¢ $5 2h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5 SELL Under 99¢ $31 2h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score BUY No 54¢ $4 4h
Will O'Higgins FC win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 94¢ $5 4h
Spread: Switzerland (-2.5) BUY Qatar 64¢ $15 4h
Olimpia Milano vs. Reyer Venezia BUY Olimpia Milano 88¢ $6 4h
Tucuman: Guido Justo vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi BUY Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi 44¢ $4 5h
Spread: Switzerland (-2.5) BUY Qatar 64¢ $2 5h
Spread: Switzerland (-2.5) BUY Qatar 64¢ $8 5h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Qatar 1st Half O/U 0.5 BUY Under 82¢ $5 5h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 1.5 BUY Under 26¢ $19 5h
Ilkley: Jacob Fearnley vs Filippo Romano BUY Jacob Fearnley 81¢ $8 5h
Spread: Spain (-4.5) BUY Cabo Verde 83¢ $5 5h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Morocco O/U 1.5 BUY Under 80¢ $6 5h
Spread: Switzerland (-2.5) BUY Qatar 66¢ $20 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +19%
net ROI/market (all)-40.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 98 -1.1% -10.5% 37% 23% -18.2%
≤30d 284 -34.7% -40.9% 25% 19% -31.1%
≤90d 284 -34.7% -40.9% 25% 19% -31.1%
all 284 -34.7% -40.9% 25% 19% -31.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover27.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -40.9% 19% -31.1%
10% ← realistic here -46.5% 17% -37.7%
15% -51.7% 15% -43.8%
20% -56.4% 14% -49.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $373.17 · official $373.18 (match) · 829 history records