trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 9 | -23.5% | -30.8% | 44% | 22% | -13.0% |
| ≤30d | 21 | -35.6% | -41.7% | 33% | 19% | -1.4% |
| ≤90d | 21 | -35.6% | -41.7% | 33% | 19% | -1.4% |
| all | 21 | -35.6% | -41.7% | 33% | 19% | -1.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -41.7% | 19% | -1.4% |
| 10% | -47.3% | 19% | -10.8% |
| 15% | -52.4% | 19% | -19.4% |
| 20% | -57.1% | 19% | -27.3% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026? | Yes | 3¢ | 0¢ | $28 | $0 | −$28 (-98%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026? | Jun 23 | $243 | +$22 | +9% |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026? | Jun 22 | $214 | +$3 | +2% |
| France vs. Iraq: O/U 3.5 | Jun 22 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $20 | −$19 | -99% |
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $10 | +$14 | +140% |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? | Jun 19 | $150 | +$208 | +138% |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? | Jun 18 | $278 | −$223 | -80% |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? | Jun 18 | $17 | −$17 | -97% |
| Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $15 | −$15 | -98% |
| Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? | Jun 16 | $8 | −$2 | -20% |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? | Jun 16 | $220 | +$375 | +170% |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? | Jun 16 | $128 | +$85 | +67% |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? | Jun 15 | $81 | −$79 | -98% |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? | Jun 14 | $53 | −$53 | -100% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $134 | −$76 | -57% |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? | Jun 12 | $32 | −$31 | -96% |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? | Jun 12 | $33 | +$1 | +3% |