Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T21:24:50+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

03
0x03de…f987
crypto · 1028 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1,365 -17%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,365 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,365
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)39%
Wins / losses471 / 732
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1203 / 1028
History coverage11d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day244.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1203 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,664
7 days−$1,765
14 days−$1,365
30 days−$1,365
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Up 75¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$578
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $2 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $2 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $3 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $2 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $3 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $2 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $3 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $1 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 22¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 24¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)-28.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 747 -44.6% -49.9% 23% 21% -36.4%
≤30d 1203 -20.5% -28.0% 39% 37% -23.4%
≤90d 1203 -20.5% -28.0% 39% 37% -23.4%
all 1203 -20.5% -28.0% 39% 37% -23.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover244.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -28.0% 37% -23.4%
10% ← realistic here -34.9% 32% -30.7%
15% -41.2% 28% -37.4%
20% -47.0% 23% -43.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records