Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T18:47:54+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

03
0x03e9…4363
crypto · 1538 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$2,894 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,802 · open −$92
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$151
Realized−$2,802
Unrealized−$92
Win rate (resolved)68%
Wins / losses1040 / 497
Whale WR (big bets)70%
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1537 / 1538
History coverage84d
Avg bet$48
Trades / day24.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 1537 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$5,991
7 days−$5,979
14 days−$6,012
30 days−$3,363
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Up 76¢ 48¢ $243 $151 −$92 (-38%)
Solana Up or Down - May 29, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $38 $0 −$38 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 28, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $34 $0 −$34 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $38 $0 −$38 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 26, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 30, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 30, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 27, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $33 $0 −$33 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 29, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 30, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 26, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Up 80¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 29, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 30, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 30, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 30, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $179 +$73 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $31 +$20 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $259 +$72 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $259 +$72 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $217 +$71 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $32 +$20 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $131 +$49 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $48 +$19 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $172 +$47 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $161 +$58 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $104 +$27 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $30 −$29 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $131 +$50 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $145 +$47 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $46 +$19 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $177 +$47 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $178 +$47 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $39 +$20 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $175 −$172 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $134 +$48 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $31 −$31 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 11 $92 +$51 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 11 $31 +$20 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 11 $179 +$47 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 11 $125 +$48 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 11 $39 +$20 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 11 $129 +$49 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 11 $41 −$41 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 28, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 11 $42 −$42 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 11 $41 −$41 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 11 $41 −$41 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 11 $41 −$41 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 28, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 11 $42 −$42 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 11 $39 −$39 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 11 $41 −$41 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 11 $41 −$41 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 11 $41 −$41 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 27, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 11 $45 −$45 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 26, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 11 $44 −$44 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 27, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 11 $42 −$42 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 28, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 11 $43 −$43 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 11 $46 −$46 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 28, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 11 $43 −$43 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 27, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 11 $43 −$43 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 28, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 11 $43 −$43 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 28, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 11 $43 −$43 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 11 $49 −$49 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 26, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 11 $42 −$42 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 28, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 11 $42 −$42 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 26, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 11 $44 −$44 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$2,894
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $5 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $122 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $120 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $65 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $113 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $10 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $21 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $155 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $105 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $155 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $105 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $88 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $125 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $11 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $21 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $59 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $72 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $19 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $29 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $68 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $104 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $106 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $54 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $104 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $6 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $24 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $88 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $43 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $55 7h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +68%
net ROI/market (all)-12.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 137 -36.8% -42.8% 46% 46% -53.8%
≤30d 696 -4.1% -13.3% 66% 66% -20.1%
≤90d 1537 -3.5% -12.6% 68% 68% -13.0%
all 1537 -3.5% -12.6% 68% 68% -13.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover24.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.6% 68% -13.0%
10% ← realistic here -21.0% 68% -21.3%
15% -28.6% 49% -28.9%
20% -35.6% 12% -35.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $151.17 · official $132.08 · 3500 history records