Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T13:20:33+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

03
0x03f0…63e0
sports · 616 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$4,234 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$6,636 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$101
Realized−$6,636
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)46%
Wins / losses284 / 329
Whale WR (big bets)69%
Est. fees paid−$2,105
Open positions2
Markets (closed)613 / 616
History coverage56d
Avg bet$676
Trades / day51.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit81%
Chart Positions 2 History 613 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$4,871
7 days−$10,445
14 days−$5,869
30 days−$1,448
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner MOUZ 60¢ 62¢ $98 $100 +$2 (+2%)
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-77%)
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs RUSTEC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group Stage RUSTEC 45¢ 0¢ $370 $0 −$370 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev Flavio Cobolli 14¢ 0¢ $54 $0 −$54 (-100%)
Spread: Knicks (-3.5) Knicks 45¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Spread: Knicks (-6.5) Knicks 36¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Spread: Knicks (-8.5) Knicks 32¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 201.5 Under 20¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 2-8? No 3¢ 0¢ $194 $0 −$194 (-100%)
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 207.5 Under 32¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 TheMongolz 47¢ 0¢ $1,846 $0 −$1,846 (-100%)
Spread: Spurs (-3.5) Knicks 61¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 214.5 Under 48¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 202.5 Under 25¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 208.5 Under 35¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Natus Vincere 37¢ 0¢ $500 $0 −$500 (-100%)
Spread: Knicks (-4.5) Knicks 41¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 204.5 Under 26¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 G2 43¢ 0¢ $1,262 $0 −$1,262 (-100%)
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 200.5 Under 19¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 196.5 Under 12¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 225.5 Under 73¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 213.5 Under 46¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5 Under 54¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Metizport (BO3) - ROG Journey Playoffs Jun 14 $140 +$94 +67%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 14 $96 +$9 +10%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 14 $152 +$12 +8%
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Metizport - Map 1 Winner Jun 14 $138 +$7 +5%
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Walczaki - Map 2 Winner Jun 14 $20 +$20 +101%
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Walczaki (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs Jun 14 $112 +$87 +78%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 14 $223 +$361 +161%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 14 $481 −$471 -98%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $101 −$2 -2%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $29 +$139 +473%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $502 +$243 +48%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $285 +$217 +76%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee Jun 13 $26 −$19 -74%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $213 +$51 +24%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $152 +$61 +40%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $114 +$38 +34%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $121 −$119 -98%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $113 +$8 +7%
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5) Jun 12 $154 −$153 -100%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee Jun 12 $24 −$8 -32%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $2,351 −$2,320 -99%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $1,344 +$516 +38%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $4,083 −$4,039 -99%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $986 +$397 +40%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $1,488 −$1,480 -99%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $463 −$463 -100%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $2,732 +$328 +12%
Map Handicap: PRV (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5) Jun 12 $615 −$615 -100%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $6,030 +$1,728 +29%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $707 +$313 +44%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $2,020 −$2,000 -99%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $1,442 −$1,417 -98%
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $408 −$408 -100%
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Jun 12 $51 −$50 -99%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? Jun 12 $250 −$99 -40%
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $1,429 −$77 -5%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $997 −$886 -89%
Mexico leading at halftime? Jun 11 $254 +$256 +101%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $101 +$51 +51%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $151 +$72 +48%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $509 −$500 -98%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 11 $505 +$230 +46%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $2,281 −$362 -16%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $1,373 +$750 +55%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $304 +$205 +67%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $3,757 +$777 +21%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $204 −$200 -98%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $560 −$444 -79%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $300 +$55 +18%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $5,926 +$2,522 +43%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 54% −$4,995
politics 33% −$121
other 8% −$4,427
crypto 3% +$2,710
world 1% +$285
finance 0% −$57
economics 0% −$29
weather 0% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY MOUZ 61¢ $18 18m
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Metizport (BO3) - ROG Journey Playoffs SELL Metizport 100¢ $233 30m
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY MOUZ 60¢ $81 40m
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte - Map 1 Winner SELL Monte 61¢ $106 41m
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner SELL FUT Esports 60¢ $164 42m
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Metizport - Map 1 Winner SELL Metizport 100¢ $145 1h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte - Map 1 Winner BUY Monte 59¢ $25 1h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Monte - Map 1 Winner BUY Monte 52¢ $71 1h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner BUY FUT Esports 64¢ $51 1h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner BUY FUT Esports 51¢ $101 1h
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Metizport (BO3) - ROG Journey Playoffs BUY Metizport 68¢ $13 1h
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Metizport - Map 1 Winner BUY Metizport 95¢ $30 1h
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Metizport - Map 1 Winner BUY Metizport 95¢ $10 1h
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Metizport - Map 1 Winner BUY Metizport 95¢ $98 1h
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Metizport (BO3) - ROG Journey Playoffs BUY Metizport 67¢ $25 1h
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Metizport (BO3) - ROG Journey Playoffs BUY Metizport 57¢ $101 2h
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Walczaki - Map 2 Winner SELL K27 100¢ $41 2h
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Walczaki (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs SELL K27 100¢ $178 2h
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Walczaki - Map 2 Winner BUY K27 49¢ $20 4h
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Walczaki (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs SELL K27 71¢ $20 4h
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Walczaki (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs BUY K27 53¢ $112 6h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 35¢ $48 12h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 38¢ $23 12h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 22¢ $36 15h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 36¢ $138 16h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner SELL 9z 100¢ $169 16h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 87¢ $191 16h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 87¢ $251 16h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Spirit 35¢ $4 16h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 2 Winner SELL Spirit 82¢ $97 17h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +26%
net ROI/market (all)-29.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 159 -31.5% -38.0% 43% 33% -13.7%
≤30d 457 -22.6% -29.9% 48% 30% -9.9%
≤90d 613 -22.0% -29.4% 46% 26% -11.0%
all 613 -22.0% -29.4% 46% 26% -11.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover51.6 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -29.4% 26% -11.0%
10% -36.1% 21% -19.5%
15% ← realistic here -42.3% 15% -27.3%
20% -48.0% 10% -34.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $100.61 · official $100.61 (match) · 3500 history records