Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T23:13:40+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

04
0x0425…3c26
crypto · 577 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$4,706 -19%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$4,706 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$4,706
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses309 / 268
Est. fees paid−$19
Open positions0
Markets (closed)577 / 577
History coverage107d
Avg bet$43
Trades / day26.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 577 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$5
7 days−$5
14 days−$5
30 days−$5
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Down 78¢ 0¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 9? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $71 $0 −$71 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 9? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $36 $0 −$36 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Down 71¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Down 82¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 9? No 1¢ 0¢ $49 $0 −$49 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 9? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $31 $0 −$31 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Down 82¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Down 77¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Down 87¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Down 87¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 13 $30 −$21 -70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 13 $30 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 13 $28 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 13 $29 −$29 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $29 −$12 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 13 $30 +$8 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $31 +$8 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $30 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 13 $29 −$10 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $31 +$11 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $27 +$5 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 13 $29 +$3 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 13 $30 +$6 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $31 +$7 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 13 $29 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 13 $31 +$10 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $30 −$15 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $29 +$3 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $30 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 13 $30 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $30 +$9 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 13 $29 +$3 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $28 −$27 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $30 −$30 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 13 $29 +$3 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $30 +$5 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $30 +$5 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 13 $29 +$3 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $30 −$16 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 13 $30 +$4 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $30 +$10 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 13 $31 +$8 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $29 +$3 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $28 +$2 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 13 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $29 +$3 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 13 $29 +$4 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 13 $30 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $30 +$5 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 13 $30 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $28 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $29 +$3 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 13 $29 +$3 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $30 +$12 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $31 +$7 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $30 +$5 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $31 +$23 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $31 +$7 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $31 −$30 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 83% −$3,420
sports 6% −$165
world 5% +$88
finance 4% −$942
other 2% −$267
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET SELL Up 26¢ $9 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $6 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $24 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET SELL Down 93¢ $30 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $30 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET SELL Up 95¢ $28 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $28 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $29 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET SELL Down 94¢ $16 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $29 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET SELL Down 95¢ $38 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET SELL Down 94¢ $38 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $31 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET SELL Down 94¢ $32 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $27 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET SELL Down 35¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $29 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET SELL Down 94¢ $42 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $27 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET SELL Up 97¢ $32 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $14 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET SELL Up 93¢ $32 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $29 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET SELL Up 95¢ $36 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $2 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +17%
net ROI/market (all)-33.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 164 -1.4% -10.8% 77% 43% -9.4%
≤30d 164 -1.4% -10.8% 77% 43% -9.4%
≤90d 557 -37.4% -43.4% 53% 15% -39.8%
all 577 -27.0% -33.9% 54% 17% -26.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover26.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -33.9% 17% -26.5%
10% ← realistic here -40.3% 9% -33.6%
15% -46.0% 5% -40.0%
20% -51.3% 4% -45.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records