Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T19:48:58+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

04
0x0449…31fa
crypto · 521 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$773 -27%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$773 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$773
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)34%
Wins / losses179 / 342
Open positions0
Markets (closed)521 / 521
History coverage17d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day58.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 0 History 521 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$41
7 days−$148
14 days−$522
30 days−$773
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 3, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 3, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 3, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$10 +183%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$3 -61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$9 +175%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$4 -76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$4 -80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$4 +85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$1 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$9 +178%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$760
other 0% −$13
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET SELL Down 2¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET SELL Up 95¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Down 19¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET SELL Up 95¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET SELL Down 11¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET SELL Up 3¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 18¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET SELL Up 95¢ $14 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET SELL Down 6¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 11¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 12¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 15¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET SELL Down 95¢ $7 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Down 24¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $7 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET SELL Up 94¢ $7 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $5 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-42.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 224 -14.8% -22.9% 47% 46% -21.6%
≤30d 521 -35.9% -42.0% 34% 33% -38.5%
≤90d 521 -35.9% -42.0% 34% 33% -38.5%
all 521 -35.9% -42.0% 34% 33% -38.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover58.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -42.0% 33% -38.5%
10% ← realistic here -47.6% 31% -44.4%
15% -52.6% 27% -49.7%
20% -57.3% 22% -54.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 966 history records