Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T17:05:19+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

04
0x044e…c102
crypto · 15 markets active 7h ago
0.0score
+$2 +4%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$0 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Net worth$0
Realized+$0
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses8 / 7
Open positions0
Markets (closed)15 / 15
History coverage1d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day107.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 15 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$0
7 days−$0
14 days−$0
30 days−$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 14 $4 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 14 $4 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 14 $4 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 14 $4 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 14 $4 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 14 $8 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 14 $4 $0 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 14 $4 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -76%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET SELL Down $0 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET SELL Down 54¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET SELL Down 87¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET SELL Down 88¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET SELL Down 81¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET SELL Down 64¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET SELL Up 96¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET SELL Up 90¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET SELL Up 46¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET SELL Up 78¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET SELL Up 53¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET SELL Down 81¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET SELL Down 83¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET SELL Down 76¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $1 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +20%
net ROI/market (all)-12.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 15 -3.2% -12.4% 53% 20% -10.2%
≤30d 15 -3.2% -12.4% 53% 20% -10.2%
≤90d 15 -3.2% -12.4% 53% 20% -10.2%
all 15 -3.2% -12.4% 53% 20% -10.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover107.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.4% 20% -10.2%
10% ← realistic here -20.8% 7% -18.8%
15% -28.4% 7% -26.6%
20% -35.4% 7% -33.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 107 history records